BSC Young Boys Bern v Manchester City Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

manchester-city-vs-young-boys-bern-prediction manchester-city-vs-young-boys-bern-prediction
TournamentChampions League
Timetable20:00 GMT 25 Oct 23
PredictionManchester City to Win!
Odds@1.20
Bookmakerbetway
Manchester City to Win!
The best odds
1.
betway
Odds : 1.20
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Tony​Bet Sports
Odds : 1.20
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Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.20
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Last season’s Champions League winners Manchester City have hit the ground running in the 2023/24 campaign too, while they’re the odds-on favourites to retain the title ahead of their rivals. Interestingly, they’re now also unbeaten in 15 UCL matches since a dramatic 3-1 defeat to Real Madrid in the second leg of the 2021/22 semi-final, and Young Boys will require a monumental effort to end this sequence and kickstart their own group stage campaign. In this comprehensive football betting guide, I’ll take a look at the latest ante post odds while asking whether the Swiss side can spring the mother of all Champions League surprises at the Wankdorf Stadium.

🏆 BSC Young Boys Bern v Manchester City Prediction

Intriguingly, both of these sides have won five domestic titles in the previous six years, but this is arguably where any comparison between the two teams ends. This is borne out by the fact that despite Manchester City’s relatively late ascent to the top table of European football, they’ve still managed to win more Champions League games (68) in total than Young Boys have even contested (57).

In terms of this season’s statistics, City have averaged 72.0% possession in their opening UCL two games so far, whereas Young Boys have retained the ball just 52.0% of the time. This suggests that City will dominate possession as usual at the Wankdorf Stadium, with Young Boys relying on a well-organised defence and swift counters to be competitive. However, while Young Boys have completed more successful take-ons than City, they’ve only executed one more tackle (22 vs 21), while their tally of 105 ball recoveries is only 10 higher than their rivals despite having much less of the ball.

Overall, it’s hard for the Young Boys to have the defensive ability or legs to keep City at bay for 90 minutes, and while their direct running may pose a threat on the break, the team’s tally 22.5 shot-creating actions per 90 hints at a distinct lack of creativity. So, I’m backing City to win comfortably in Switzerland, while keeping a clean sheet too!

My Prediction: 🏆 BSC Young Boys 0 – 3 Man City ⚽

💯 BSC Young Boys Bern v Manchester City Match Odds

All of our recommended betting sites have already published odds across a broad range of Young Boys vs Manchester City markets, including the projected match winner, BTTS and the over/under on total goals scored. Here’s a closer look at these markets and how they’re being priced.

🏅 BSC Young Boys Bern v Manchester City : Match Winner

It’s unclear how popular match betting may be when Young Boys entertain Man City, as the latter are overwhelming favourites to win in Switzerland. But what price can you get on a Young Boys victory?

Team
BSC Young Boys to Win15.0013.0013.4015.0014.00
Man City to Win1.181.201.161.201.20
Draw7.006.506.956.506.50

⚽ BSC Young Boys Bern v Manchester City: Both Teams To Score

With the BTTS betting market, you’ll wager on whether both sides will score or not at the Wankdorf Stadium. Interestingly, 50% of Young Boys’ 16 competitive games this season have been seen both sides score, while this has also occurred in nine of the 14 matches played by Man City across all competitions (64.2%).

Team
Yes2.102.202.242.002.10
No1.671.671.581.731.70

🥅 BSC Young Boys Bern v Manchester City: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

When it comes to the over/under on the total number of goals scored in the game, the most popular betting line is 2.5. The odds imply a slightly higher probability of their being over 2.5 goals scored when Young Boys host Man City, with the 30 matches contested by both sides in 2023/24 producing 84 goals at a rate of 2.80 per game.

Team
Over 2.5 Goals1.421.481.451.441.45
Under 2.5 Goals2.552.602.542.632.60

✔️ BSC Young Boys Bern v Manchester City - Betting Tips

With City priced as low as 1.16 to beat Young Boys, there’s little value in backing them to win the game outright. However, there are ways in which you can create value across multiple markets, and I’ve prepared some expert betting tips to help you in this regard.

  • Tip 1: Back Man City to Win to Nil: One way to create value is through combination betting, in which you can simultaneously back the match winner and a secondary outcome. In this case, I’d recommend betting on City to win to nil at the competitive price of 2.00 with Betiton, as while Young Boys have only failed to score in two of their 16 competitive matches this season, their attacking output in the UCL has been underwhelming and they’re likely to be starved of possession against Pep Guardiola’s side.
  • Tip 2: Back Julian Alvarez to Score First: Backing the first goalscorer in any game can be incredibly challenging, but this is a high-value market that’s especially appealing when qualifying for or utilising a free bet offer. In this case, there’s particular value in backing City’s Julian Alvarez to strike first at a price of 4.60 with Dachbet, with the Argentine forward having already scored three times in two group stage games and contributed 12 goal involvements in 14 matches across all competitions.
  • Tip 3: Back Man City to win with a Handicap of -1.75 Goals: Handicapping is also an excellent way to create value in match wagering, and you can access various betting lines in this respect. Currently, you can back Man City to win with a handicap of -1.75 goals at the extended price of 1.67 with LegendPlay, with this reflective of the Premier League side’s superior quality and ability to completely dominate possession. However, be sure to back this outcome with a nominal stake as handicapping betting incurs higher levels of risk.

1️⃣ Young Boys Update

Defending champions Young Boys are currently second in the 2023/24 Swiss Super League, having dropped points to St. Gallen and league leaders FC Zurich in their last four games. Across all competitions, Young Boys have won just two of their previous five matches, with their failure to beat St. Gallen and FC Zurich compounded by a 2-2 draw against Red Star Belgrade in their last UCL outing. Overall, the side have won nine of their 16 competitive matches in 2023/24 at a win rate of 56.25%, although they were soundly beaten by RB Leipzig in front of their own fans at the beginning of their UEFA Champions League campaign.

Last 5 Games
Young Boys 0
FC Zurich 0
21.10.23
Swiss Super League
Young Boys 3
Basel 0
08.10.23
Swiss Super League
Red Star Belgrade 2
Young Boys 2
04.10.23
Champions League
Grasshoppers 0
Young Boys 1
30.09.23
Swiss Super League
St. Gallen 2
Young Boys 1
27.09.23
Swiss Super League

BSC Young Boys are virtually at full strength ahead of their encounter with Manchester City, although left-sided midfielder Kastriot Imeri remains a long-term absentee with a torn lateral knee ligament sustained on September 22nd.

Player Reason
Kastriot Imeri Torn Lateral Knee Ligament

2️⃣ Man City Update

Manchester City returned to winning ways with an ultimately unconvincing victory over Brighton at the weekend, following a sequence of just one win in four matches across all competitions. Overall, Pep Guardiola’s treble winners have won the same number of matches as Young Boys so far this season (nine), albeit having contested two fewer games while maintaining a win-rate of 64.29%. They were also impressive while beating RB Leipzig 3-1 at the Red Bull Arena in Champions League gameweek two, during which they sustained 68% possession of the ball and completed 18 attempts on goal (while restricting their in-form Bundesliga opponents to just three).

Last 5 Games
Man City 2
Brighton 1
21.10.23
Premier League
Arsenal 1
Man City 0
08.10.23
Premier League
RB Leipzig 1
Man City 3
04.10.23
Champions League
Wolves 2
Man City 1
30.09.23
Premier League
Newcastle 1
Man City 0
27.09.23
EFL Cup

Man City were boosted by the return from injury of John Stones in the 2-1 win over Brighton at the weekend, with the England defender also expected to start in Switzerland. However, the influential Kevin De Bruyne remains absent with a partial muscle tear, while reserve goalkeeper Zach Steffen is also continuing his recovery from a knee injury.

Player Reason
Kevin De Bruyne Partial Muscle Tear
Zach Steffen Knee Injury

👕 BSC Young Boys Bern v Manchester City - Potential Lineups

Pos. BSC Young Boys
4-3-3
Man City
4-2-3-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper A. Racioppi Ederson Goalkeeper
Right Back S. Janko J. Stones Right Back
Centre Back M.A. Camara R. Dias Centre Back
Centre Back L. Benito M. Akanji Centre Back
Left Back U. Garcia J. Gvardiol Left Back
Midfielder F. Ugrinic Rodri Midfielder
Midfielder C. Niasse B. Silva Midfielder
Midfielder D. Males J. Alvarez Midfielder
Wide Forward J. Monteiro P. Foden Wide Forward
Striker C. Itten E. Haaland Striker
Wide Forward M. Elia J. Grealish Wide Forward

Manchester City to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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