PSV Eindhoven v Lens Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

rsv-eindhoven-lens-logo rsv-eindhoven-lens-logo
TournamentChampions League
Timetable20:00 GMT - 8th Nov 23
PredictionPSV to Win!
Odds1.73
BookmakerLegend Play Sports
The best odds
1.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.73
Bet €100 and win €173 if PSV win
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2.
betway
Odds : 1.73
Bet €100 and win €173 if PSV win.
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€50+ 50 Free Spins
3.
Dach​bet Sports
Odds : 1.70
Bet €100 and win €170 if PSV win.
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While PSV are winless so far in Champions League Group B, they’ve only lost once in three matches and sit just four points off Arsenal in first place. So, a win in their return match with Lens would put them in contention for qualification to the round of 16, although the same can be said for their Ligue 1 opponents (who are second in the group with five points out of nine). These two opponents are certainly evenly matched, and the football betting odds appear to reflect this. But can PSV claim a potentially crucial win at the Philips Stadion, or will Lens continue their impressive UCL form in 2023/24?

🏆 PSV Eindhoven v Lens UCL Prediction

The Gameweek three clash was the first-ever competitive meeting between these two teams, which isn’t surprising given that Lens have only previously appeared in four Champions League group stages. Conversely, PSV famously lifted the 1987/88 European Cup, while they’ve won two major UEFA tournaments during their history.

In terms of statistics, PSV are a side who like to operate on the front foot and have averaged 53.0% possession in their three UCL matches so far. Conversely, Lens have averaged 41.3% possession in the competition (the third-lowest share overall), and this should create a classic game of cat and mouse in Eindhoven. PSV also have a greater need to earn three points here, so much will depend on the Dutch side’s ability to sustain attacks and take the chances that they’re able to create.

Interestingly, PSV’s tally of 30.00 shot-creating actions per 90 is bettered only by Manchester City, Real Madrid and Milan in the Champions League, while the side’s xG value is slightly higher than their opponents (3.6 v 3.2).

Ultimately, PSV have a win rate of 78.95% in 2023/24, while they’ve won eight of their nine matches at the Philips Stadion in all competitions. So, although Lens have also seen their form embark on an upward trajectory of late, I’m tipping the hosts to secure a close and crucial win!

My Prediction: 🏆 PSV 2 – 1 RC Lens ⚽

💯 PSV Eindhoven v Lens UCL Match Odds

Betinireland’s betting sites have now published their odds across a huge range of markets, including the match winner, BTTS and the over/under on how many goals will be scored in total. But how are these markets being priced at present and do they offer tangible value? Looking for other sites, make sure to see our curated list of best betting sites for more information.

🏅 PSV Eindhoven v Lens: Match Winner

Despite these sides being evenly matched, PSV’s superior form and home-field advantage affords them a key advantage in the eyes of bookies. In fact, the odds imply that PSV have a 58.82% probability of beating Lens, while their Ligue 1 opponents have only a 22.22% chance of prevailing from a statistical perspective.

Team
PSV to Win1.701.731.691.701.73
Lens to Win4.504.334.554.334.75
Draw3.804.003.954.004.00

⚽ PSV Eindhoven v Lens: Both Teams To Score

PSV have scored an impressive 59 goals in 19 matches this season, while they’ve only drawn a single blank during this run of matches. While Lens have struggled in front of goal following the summer departure of striker Lois Openda, they’ve still scored in 10 of their 14 matches and found the net in every UCL game so far.

Yes/No
Yes1.621.671.611.571.62
No2.152.202.222.202.20

🥅 PSV Eindhoven v Lens: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

When it comes to the over/under betting market for goals scored, it’s important to note that the 33 matches contested between PSV and RC Lens have produced 108 goals at a rate of 3.27 per game. However, Lens’ 14 contests have yielded just 32 goals at a rate of just 2.28 per game. So, how you wager here will depend on which side you think will be able to impose their will and game plan on the other.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.621.671.631.701.67
Under 2.5 Goals2.152.202.142.102.10

✔️ PSV Eindhoven v Lens - Betting Tips

Betinireland’s detailed bookmaker reviews feature a huge range of top UCL sportsbooks, each of which have priced the above markets differently. But how can you navigate these markets while looking to make the most of your bankroll? Here are some betting tips to keep in mind! Interested in more advanced betting strategies, our guide on matched betting tips can be a good resource.

  • Tip 1: Back PSV to Win: Due to the relatively evenly matched nature of these two sides and how this impacts the odds, there’s arguably value in backing PSV to win outright at a price of 1.73 with LegendPlay. Remember, PSV have won eight out of nine home matches so far in 2023/24, while scoring an impressive 31 goals during this sequence. While the only game they failed to win here was against Sevilla in Gameweek two (the match ended in a 1-1 draw), PSV are the clear and justified favourites here.
  • Tip 2: Back PSV to Win and BTTS: Lens’ goal return is far from impressive so far this season, but despite averaging just 1.14 goals per in 2023/24, they’ve scored in 10 of their 14 contests overall and found the net in every single UCL encounter. So, I also think there’s value in backing PSV to win and both sides to score at an enhanced price of 3.25 with Betway, especially as Lens are also unbeaten in nine games since September 16th and will kick-off this match in a confident state of mind.
  • Tip 3: Back PSV to Win by a Single Goal: You can also utilise a free bet offer when engaging in match wagering, and you could use this to back PSV to win by a single goal. This makes sense given the respective form of both sides and how evenly matched they were during the reverse fixture in France, while you can bet on this outcome at the genuinely competitive price of 3.60 with TonyBet.

1️⃣ PSV Update

PSV have now won an astonishing 11 successive Eredivisie matches since the beginning of the 2023/24 campaign, scoring 41 goals and conceding just five. Overall, they’ve recorded 15 wins in 19 matches across all competitions, with their sole defeat coming in the form of a 4-0 thrashing at the hands of Arsenal on September 20th. The Dutch giants are also unbeaten in 22 home matches since a 1-0 loss to AZ on November 12th, 2022, so it’s nearly a year since they were defeated in front of their own fans. The side has also scored 59 goals in their 19 games this season, at a healthy rate of 3.10 per 90 minutes.

Last 5 Games
Heracles 0
PSV 6
04.11.23
Eredivisie
PSV 5
Ajax 2
29.10.23
Eredivisie
Lens 1
PSV 1
24.10.23
Champions League
PSV 3
Fortuna Sittard 1
21.10.23
Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam 0
PSV 4
08.10.23
Eredivisie

PSV are still without defenders Mauro Júnior and Armando Obispo, who remain long-term absentees with knee injuries. Centre-back Armel Bella-Kotchap has also missed five matches with a shoulder injury and is unlikely to be fit for the visit of Lens, while enigmatic winger Noah Lang has been ruled out with a hamstring strain and won’t return until the end of November.

PlayerReason
Mauro Júnior Knee Injury
Armando Obispo Knee Injury
Noah Lang Hamstring Injury
Armel Bella-Kotchap Shoulder Injury

2️⃣ Lens Update

Lens went winless in their first five Ligue 1 games this season, with the lowest point coming in the form of a 1-0 loss at home to Metz on September 16th. However, this defeat has served as a catalyst for last season’s runners-up in the French top-flight, with the side subsequently unbeaten in nine matches including three UCL games and four on the road overall. Lens are also deceptively solid defensively and have only conceded 16 goals in 14 games this season (at a rate of 1.14 per game), while they’ve won 58.6% of their tackles in the Champions League been competitive every time they’ve taken to the field.

Last 5 Games
Lorient 0
Lens 0
04.11.23
Ligue 1
Lens 4
Nantes 0
28.10.23
Ligue 1
Lens 1
PSV 1
24.10.23
Champions League
Le Havre 0
Lens 0
20.10.23
Ligue 1
Lens 1
Lille 1
08.10.23
Ligue 1

Lens have two absentees at the time of writing, with midfielder Jimmy Cabot and keeper Wuilker Fariñez both sidelined indefinitely with cruciate ligament tears. Otherwise, the Ligue 1 outfit will be at full strength when they take to the field in Eindhoven!

PlayerReason
Jimmy Cabot Cruciate Ligament Tear
Wuilker Fariñez Cruciate Ligament Tear

👕 PSV v Lens - Potential Lineups

Pos. PSV
4-3-3
Lens
3-4-2-1
Pos.
Goalkeeper W. Benítez B. Samba Goalkeeper
Right Back J. Teze R. Aguilar Right Centre Back
Centre Back A. Ramalho Silva J. Gradit Centre Back
Centre Back O. Boscagli F. Medina Left Centre Back
Left Back S. Dest P. Frankowski Right Wing Back
Midfielder J. Schouten N. Mendy Midfielder
Midfielder M. Tillman A. Diouf Midfielder
Midfielder J. Veerman M. Haïdara Left Wing Back
Wide Forward J. Bakayoko F. Sotoca Attacking Midfielder
Striker L. de Jong A. Fulgini Attacking Midfielder
Wide Forward H. Lozano E. Wahi Striker

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of different sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

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