PSV Eindhoven v Arsenal Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 PSV Eindhoven v Arsenal UCL Prediction

Of the seven UEFA Champions League games contested by these two teams since 2002, Arsenal have won three and a further three have ended in draws. PSV have only prevailed once in these head-to-head encounters, with a goal by forward Édison Méndez securing a 1-0 win over Gunners in a 2006/07 round of 16 clash.

In terms of this season’s competition, it’s interesting to note that PSV has produced 29.00 shot-creating actions per 90, compared to just 23.80 for Arsenal. PSV have also attempted 77 shots on goal throughout their 2023/24 Group B campaign, while the Gunners have only managed to complete 67.

However, Arsenal have recorded more shots on target (28 vs 27), while their xG value of 9.0 is also noticeably higher than PSV’s (6.6). This hints at the Gunners superior efficiency and quality in front of goal, especially as Arsenal have also outperformed their tournament xG value by an impressive +5.2 goals.

Still, I expect the Gunners to rest players against PSV, while the runaway Eredivisie leaders are unbeaten at home this season and have won 10 of their 11 games at the Philips Stadion in all competitions. So, I’m tipping PSV to edge an entertaining clash between two relaxed and attack minded sides!

💯 PSV Eindhoven v Arsenal UCL Match Odds

This is a difficult match to call in many ways, especially with both sides already qualified for the round of 16. If you have free bets on your chosen sportsbook account, this may lend itself to matched betting, where you can lay a back wager on one side to win and cover all potential outcomes.

However, it’s also important to review the full range of PSV vs Arsenal betting markets and odds, including the following:

🏅 PSV Eindhoven v Arsenal Match Winner

PSV’s incredible form at home has certainly influenced the bookies, who have made Peter Bosz’ side the narrow favourites at around 2.35. This implies a 42.55% probability of a home win, while average odds of 2.75 suggest that the Gunners have a 36.36% chance of ending their Group B campaign with another victory.

Team
PSV Eindhoven to Win	2.30	2.38	2.35	2.38	2.30
Arsenal to Win	2.75	2.63	2.67	2.60	2.75
Draw	3.50	3.60	3.55	3.50	3.50

⚽ PSV Eindhoven v Arsenal: Both Teams To Score

PSV have failed to score just once in 24 matches across all competitions this season, although this was against Arsenal in a 4-0 defeat at the Emirates in gameweek one. However, they have kept 11 clean sheets and one in the Champions League, so both sides have found the net in only 12 of their games. Both teams have also scored in 12 of Arsenal’s 23 games in 2023/24, while the Gunners have drawn a single blank too.

Yes/No
Yes	1.50	1.50	1.48	1.44	1.50
No	2.50	2.50	2.48	2.50	2.50

🥅 PSV Eindhoven v Arsenal: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

PSV and Arsenal have contested 47 matches so far in 2023/24, with these yielding a whopping 164 goals at an impressive rate of 3.48 per game. From an offensive perspective, PSV have scored 72 goals in their 24 matches at a rate of 3.00 per 90 minutes, including 50 in just 14 league encounters at the Philips Stadion.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.57	1.60	1.56	1.57	1.57
Under 2.5 Goals	2.30	2.20	2.24	2.30	2.25

1️⃣ PSV Eindhoven Update

PSV have won 20 of their 24 matches in 2023/24, contributing to an incredible win rate of 83.33%. This sequence includes 14 successive Eredivisie victories, which means that the side have maintained a 100% winning record since the beginning of the campaign. They’ve hit 50 league goals across the encounters at a rate of 3.57 per game too, while their goals tally across all competitions has now hit an impressive 72. Winger Noa Lang has also performed impressively in his two UCL appearances so far and is a huge attacking threat from the bench, producing 6.55 shot-creating actions per 90.

PSV may be without centre back pair Armando Obispo (knee injury) and Armel Bella-Kotchap (shoulder) for the visit of Arsenal, while left back Mauro Júnior could also miss out with a knee complaint. Otherwise, the Dutch outfit should be at full strength for the match!

2️⃣ Arsenal Update

Despite still having to reach top gear this season, Arsenal have won consecutive games in all competitions since November 8th. This sequence includes four successive Premier League victories following a 1-0 defeat at Newcastle on November 4th, while they’ve triumphed in four out of five matches in Champions League Group B. Of course, they also vanquished PSV 4-0 at the Emirates in gameweek one, although it should be noted that the Gunners are far more potent at home than they are on the road. Young winger Bukayo Saka has four UCL assists to his name this season too, while he has produced 6.00 shot-creating actions per 90 in the competition.

Arsenal will also have a relatively fully fit squad to choose from when they visit the Netherlands, although summer signing Jurrien Timber will continue his recovery from a cruciate ligament tear. Midfielder Thomas Partey has also been ruled out until the New Year with a hamstring injury, while Emile Smith Rowe is missing as he continues to struggle with a knee injury.

👕 PSV vs Arsenal - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.