PSG v Newcastle United Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Paris Saint-Germain v Newcastle United UCL Prediction

Not only did the Magpies’ stunning 4-1 win over PSG in gameweek two mark their first UCL game at St James Park in 20 years, but this was also the first ever time that the two teams had done battle competitively. However, PSG will be a different proposition on their home ground, where Luis Enrique’s side have only lost 23 times since the beginning of the 2013/14 season.

PSG will certainly dominate the ball against Newcastle, with the side averaging 67.5% possession across their four UCL games so far this season. While Eddie Howe won’t be too concerned about this (PSG boasted 74% possession at St James Park during their 4-1 defeat in October), his team’s ability to press and counterattack effectively may be greatly restricted by a mounting injury crisis.

At the time of writing, Newcastle are without 10 first team players, and it’s unclear how many of these will be available for the trip to Paris. Attacking players Callum Wilson, Alexander Isak, Miguel Almiron and Harvey Barnes could all be absent, further straining an attack that has only produced an average of 16.75 shot-creating actions per 90 in the UCL (only Young Boys, Antwerp, Sevilla and Celtic have fared worse in this respect).

Even at full strength, Newcastle would find it hard to beat a constantly improving PSG side at the Parc des Princes. However, this challenge will be made even harder by the Magpies attacking absentees and their potential inability to counter effectively, so I’m backing a comfortable win for PSG here.

💯 Paris Saint-Germain v Newcastle United UCL Match Odds

Whether you want to wager a percentage of your bankroll on the clash between PSG and Newcastle, take a go at matched betting, or simply utilise one or more free bets that you have on your account, you’ll be able to access a huge range of potential markets online. Below, I’ll look at the most popular and how they’re currently being priced!

🏅 Paris Saint-Germain v Newcastle United: Match Winner

PSG are the favourites to beat Newcastle in gameweek five of the Champions League, while their average price of 1.70 implies a 58.82% probability of a home win. As for Newcastle, they can be backed at around 4.50 to prevail, which affords the Magpies a 22.22% chance of beating PSG.

Team
PSG to Win	1.70	1.70	1.68	1.70	1.67
Newcastle to Win	4.50	4.33	4.40	4.60	4.60
Draw	3.75	3.80	3.90	4.00	3.80

⚽ Paris Saint-Germain v Newcastle United: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in just four of PSG’s last 10 matches, with Enrique’s side keeping six clean sheets during this sequence. As for Newcastle, both competing sides have only scored in six of their 18 games across all competitions, with the EPL team keeping eight clean sheets and failing to score on five occasions.

Yes/No
Yes	1.62	1.70	1.64	1.70	1.67
No	2.10	2.10	2.13	2.10	2.10

🥅 Paris Saint-Germain v Newcastle United: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Across all competitions, these two sides have contested a total of 34 matches this season, with these contests yielding 103 goals at a rate of 3.02 per game. This statistic is reflected in the over/under 2.5 goals market odds, which imply a higher probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in this match!

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.67	1.67	1.67	1.67	1.67
Under 2.5 Goals	2.05	2.10	2.06	2.10	2.10

1️⃣ PSG Update

PSG have played 16 matches in all competitions this season, winning 10 of these encounters and recording just three defeats. They’ve also won six out of their last seven matches since losing 4-1 to Newcastle at St James Park on October 4th, with a surprise 2-1 defeat in Milan in UCL gameweek four the only blemish during this sequence. Star striker Kylian Mbappe has scored seven times during this this run (including a hattrick last time out at Reims), taking his total tally to 15 goals in just 15 appearances since the beginning of the season.

PSG remain without a number of players ahead of the visit of Newcastle, including long-term absentees Presnel Kimpembe (Achilles tendon rupture), Sergio Rico (cerebral hemorrhage) and Nuno Mendes (whose hamstring injury is expected to keep him sidelined until February 2024). Winger Marco Asensio is also a doubt with an ongoing and unknown injury, while defensive midfielder Danilo Pereira could miss out too.

2️⃣ Newcastle Update

Newcastle endured a difficult start to the 2023/24 season, while they’ve only won nine of their 18 matches in all competitions (drawing three and losing six in total). They’ve won just three of their last eight games as their injury problems have continued to mount too, with this sequence including consecutive home and away defeats to Dortmund in the UCL and a tame 2-0 reversal at Bournemouth last time out. The side have only scored 12 goals since putting four past PSG on October 4th, while the combined absence of strikers Isak and Wilson left the side looking completely toothless in their defeat at the Vitality Stadium.

It has now been confirmed that left back Dan Burn will miss up to two months with a back injury, while he joins Harvey Barnes (foot), Sven Botman (knee) and Alexander Isak (groin) on the long-term injury list. Miguel Almiron limped off against Bournemouth, and is expected to be out for several weeks with a muscle injury. Jacob Murphy may also miss out with a recurrence of a previous shoulder injury, while young midfielder Elliot Anderson is a doubt with a back complaint.

Matt Targett and prolific striker Callum Wilson are both struggling with hamstring injuries, while Sandro Tonali has been ruled out for 10 months as a result of suspension. To make matters worse, Fabian Schar is also a doubt after missing Switzerland’s recent international match against Israel with a hamstring strain, although initial reports expect him to be fit in time for the PSG game.

👕 PSG vs Newcastle- Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.