Tournament | Champions League |
Timetable | 20:00 GMT 13 Dec 23 |
Prediction | Newcastle to win |
Odds | @1.86 |
Bookmaker | TonyBet Sports |
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Newcastle were drawn into the toughest group of this year's Champions League and, depending on the result of their final match against AC Milan, they could find themselves dropping down into the Europa League or being eliminated from Europe altogether - for this season at least. Milan are in the same boat as Newcastle, since both have five points from the five games that they have played, so this should be a fascinating encounter. Before you go ahead and do any football betting on this game, check out my predictions below.
🏆 Newcastle United vs AC Milan UCL Prediction
Newcastle's season got off to a great start, and people started questioning how they would cope with the inevitable injuries that come with European football. We now know the answer to this question, and it is better than what many expected - they have been missing some key players for several weeks now, but they have still picked up some big wins against Arsenal, Chelsea, and Manchester United. However, having said that, it might be catching up with them now as they have shipped seven goals in their last two EPL matches.
AC Milan have also had their fair share of injuries and, in my opinion, they have not been able to cope as well as Newcastle. They do still occupy third place in the Serie A, but they are already 9 points adrift of Inter at the top of the table - although, their main aim this season will be to claim a top-four finish. From their previous 10 matches, they have picked up 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. If their form does not improve and they keep picking up injuries, they might find themselves out of Europe and slipping down the table.
When Milan and Newcastle met for the first time in September, it ended in a boring 0-0, but there should be a winner in this match because a draw does nothing for either side. Both sides have plenty of injuries to contend with, and it should be a pretty even match, but I think Newcastle will come out on top due to their huge home advantage. Whether that is enough to see Newcastle through to the next round is something that we will need to wait and see.
My Prediction: 🏆 Newcastle 2 – 1 AC Milan ⚽
💯 Newcastle United vs AC Milan UCL Match Odds
Football is really popular among sports bettors due to the market variety that is on offer, but some markets attract more bets than others and these are match winner, both teams to score, and over/under 2.5 goals. Below you can find the odds that five top bookmakers are offering for these markets in relation to the Newcastle United vs AC Milan match.
🏅 Newcastle United vs AC Milan: Match Winner
The match-winner market owes its popularity to the fact that it is a simple type of bet. All you need to try and do is predict the team that will win the match and claim the vital three points. As you can see in the following table, Newcastle United are the favourites heading into this match, which is no surprise since they are playing at St. James' Park.
Team | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Newcastle United to Win | 1.79 | 1.83 | 1.79 | 1.86 | 1.87 |
AC Milan to Win | 3.90 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 4.10 | 4.00 |
Draw | 3.90 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.90 | 3.75 |
⚽ Newcastle United vs AC Milan: Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
AC Milan have not had any problems finding the back of the net this season in the Serie A as they average just under two goals a game. However, they somewhat lose their shooting boots in the Champions League as they have scored just 3 goals in 5 matches. Newcastle are averaging just over two goals a game in the EPL, but just 1 goal per game in the Champions League. Despite this, the bookmakers are favouring BTTS:
Yes/No | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 1.72 | 1.70 | 1.65 | 1.74 | 1.72 |
No | 1.96 | 2.10 | 2.11 | 2.11 | 2.08 |
🥅 Newcastle United vs AC Milan: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Only three teams (Liverpool, Manchester City, and Aston Villa) have scored more goals than Newcastle's 33 this season, while only two teams (Roma and Inter) can better Milan's 26 goals scored in the Serie A. These are two sides that are not allergic to finding the back of the net, so you will not be surprised to see that the top bookies have over 2.5 goals as the slightly more likely outcome.
Under/Over | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 2.5 Goals | 1.73 | 1.77 | 1.72 | 1.80 | 1.77 |
Under 2.5 Goals | 2.03 | 2.00 | 1.99 | 2.07 | 2.05 |
✔️ Newcastle United vs AC Milan - Betting Tips
Whether you are making use of your own hard-earned money or some free bets, it is important that you place well-educated bets instead of just hoping that Lady Luck is smiling down upon you. Below you can find some of my top betting tips for this Newcastle United vs AC Milan UEFA Champions League clash.
- Tip 1: Newcastle to Win and BTTS: You can find odds of 1.87 for Newcastle to come away from St. James' Park with all three points, but if you want even better odds then I suggest that you take a look at Newcastle to win and both teams to score. With the injuries that both teams have, I do not see either side keeping a clean sheet, but I do think that Newcastle's home advantage will be enough to carry them to the win. If you want to bet on this, then you can find odds of 3.60 at Dachbet Sports.
- Tip 2: Back Over 2.5 Goals: These two teams are one of the highest-scoring teams in their respective leagues, so it is clear that they do not have a problem sticking the ball into the back of the net. A draw does nothing for either, so both will do their utmost to get all three points and hope that Borussia Dortmund does them a favour. Those who want to back BTTS can find odds of 1.74 at TonyBet for this market.
- Tip 3: Bet on Anthony Gordon to be Booked: If you are the kind of punter who likes to place bets on a player to be booked, then I recommend you consider betting on Anthony Gordon. He has already picked up seven bookings this season, so he is no stranger to going into the ref's book. If you want to back Gordon to be cautioned, then Betiton Sport are offering odds of 3.00.
1️⃣ Newcastle United Update
It is no secret that Newcastle United are missing many key players, but Eddie Howe has got all of his available players fighting for the same cause. Those players who have come in to replace these missing starters have all performed admirably, even if results have not always gone their way. Newcastle fans cannot say that their team has not given their all whenever they step out onto the field. St. James' Park is a bit of a fortress - just ask PSG who were smashed 4-1 here at the start of October. They have also beaten Chelsea, Manchester United, and Arsenal at home in recent weeks, which will give them plenty of confidence.
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Tottenham Hotspur 4 Newcastle United 1 | 10.12.23 English Premier League |
Everton 3 Newcastle United0 | 07.12.23 English Premier League |
Newcastle United 1 Manchester United 0 | 02.12.23 English Premier League |
Paris Saint-Germain1 Newcastle United 1 | 28.11.23 Champions League |
Newcastle United4 Chelsea 1 | 25.11.23 English Premier League |
Howe must be wondering what it is that he has done to upset the footballing gods as his number 1, Nick Pope, is the latest player to be facing a spell on the sidelines. Additionally, he will be without big-money signing, Sandro Tonali, until next season as he is serving a ban for illegal gambling. You can see the full extent of their injury list in the table below:
Player | Reason |
---|---|
Jacob Murphy | Shoulder Injury |
Nick Pope | Shoulder Injury |
Sven Botman | Knee Injury |
Joe Willock | Achilles Tendon Injury |
Elliot Anderson | Back Injury |
Matt Targett | Hamstring Strain |
Dan Burn | Back Injury |
Harvey Barnes | Foot Injury |
2️⃣ AC Milan Update
AC Milan are no strangers to winning the Champions League, but I think that their fans are going to have to get used to the idea of having no European football to look forward to in the second half of the season. They have been struggling lately due to their injuries, and better teams have rocked up to St. James' Park this season and walked away with a spanking. I do not see them losing heavily, but it is hard to see them winning on Tyneside.
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Atalanta3 AC Milan 2 | 09.12.23 Serie A |
AC Milan3 Frosinone1 | 02.12.23 Serie A |
AC Milan1 Borussia Dortmund 3 | 28.11.23 Champions League |
AC Milan1 Fiorentina0 | 24.11.23 Serie A |
Lecce2 AC Milan2 | 11.11.23 Serie A |
Stefano Pioli should be able to welcome back Rafael Leao, which will be a huge relief to him, but it remains to be seen as to how much of a part he will play in the game. He has seven other important players out, and these can be seen in the following table:
Player | Reason |
---|---|
Malick Thiaw | Muscle Injury |
Marco Sportiello | Calf Injury |
Mattia Caldara | Ankle Injury |
Marco Pellegrino | Foot Injury |
Noah Okafor | Thigh Injury |
Pierre Kalulul | Thigh Injury |
Simon Kjaer | Muscle Injury |
👕 Newcastle United vs AC Milan - Potential Lineups
Pos. | Newcastle United 4-3-3 | AC Milan 4-3-3 | Pos. |
---|---|---|---|
Goalkeeper | M. Dubravka | M. Maignan | Goalkeeper |
Right Back | K. Trippier | A. Florenzi | Right Back |
Centre Back | J. Lascelles | D. Calabria | Centre Back |
Centre Back | F. Schar | F. Tomori | Centre Back |
Left Back | T. Livramento | T. Hernandez | Left Back |
Right Midfielder | L. Miley | T. Reijnders | Right Midfielder |
Centre Midfielder | B. Guimares | I. Bennacer | Centre Midfielder |
Left Midfielder | Joelinton | R. Loftus-Cheek | Left Midfielder |
Right Wing | M. Almiron | S. Chukwueze | Right Winger |
Striker | C. Wilson | O. Giroud | Striker |
Left Wing | A. Gordon | C. Pulisic | Left Winger |
✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast
This Newcastle vs AC Milan prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.
Sheldon is a tipster and betting expert from the United Kingdom who has a passion for a whole range of sports, particularly football, rugby, and cricket. He is an avid Aston Villa fan, so feel free to feel a bit of pity for him. He has been involved in the online gambling industry for a number of years now and has written a large number of predictions for a variety of sports including GAA, so he has built up a lot of sporting expertise over the years.
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