Lens vs PSV Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

lens-vs-psv-prediction lens-vs-psv-prediction
TournamentChampions League
Timetable20:00 GMT 24 Oct 23
PredictionLens to Win!
Odds@ 2.30
BookmakerDachbet Sports
The best odds
1.
Dach​bet Sports
Odds : 2.30
Bet €100 and win €230 if Lens win.
Bonus:
2.
betway
Odds : 2.30
Bet €100 and win €230 if Lens win.
Bonus:
€50+ 50 Free Spins
3.
Betiton
Odds : 2.25
Bet €100 and win €225 if Lens win.
Bonus:
€10

RC Lens appear to have finally turned the corner of late, embarking on a five-match unbeaten run after losing four of their first five Ligue 1 matches and slumping to the bottom of the table. Their 2-1 win over Arsenal at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis was also impressive, as they restricted their opponents to very few chances while remaining threatening in transition. As for PSV, they’re in excellent form and have maintained a 100% record in the Eredivisie, while their 4-0 thrashing at Arsenal remains their only defeat so far in 2023/24. In this football betting guide, I’ll explore the most popular wagering markets for this Champions League clash while making my own prediction about the final result!

🏆 Lens vs PSV UCL Prediction

These sides have never previously played one another in UEFA competition, while Lens are only making their third appearance in the UCL group stages this season. Conversely, PSV have a rich heritage in the European Cup and Champions League, winning the former in 1987/88 while also lifting the UEFA Cup a decade earlier in 1977/78.

PSV are also in better form than Lens, despite the French side’s recent upturn in fortunes. To this end, they’ve won 11 and lost just one of their 13 matches in all competitions this season, while plundering 38 goals at a rate of 2.92 per game. They also lifted the Johan Cruyff Shield on August 4th, after beating their bitter rivals and defending Eredivisie champions Feyenoord 1-0 at the latter’s De Kuip Stadium.

However, Lens have rediscovered their mojo and appear to be reserving their best form for the UCL, while it should be remembered that they complied a domestic home record of 17 wins and just one defeat in 19 matches last season. They’ve only been beaten once in their previous five games at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis too, while their triumph over Arsenal may inspire them to another important (albeit close) victory against PSV in midweek!

My Prediction: 🏆 RC Lens 2 – 1 PSV ⚽

💯 Lens vs PSV UCL Match Odds

You’ll be able to access a huge range of Lens vs PSV wagering markets at our recommended betting sites, some of which offer slightly more competitive odds than others. So, let’s take a closer look at the most popular betting markets and the prices published by bookies!

Lens vs PSV: Match Winner

Unsurprisingly, there’s no obvious favourite to win the match between Lens and PSV, although the home side have a higher implied probability of prevailing according to the odds. Let’s explore the latest prices in more detail.

Team
Lens to Win2.302.302.252.202.35
PSV to Win3.002.882.882.902.80
Draw3.003.403.503.503.60

Lens vs PSV: Both Teams To Score

When it comes to betting on both sides to score (BTTS) or not, it’s important to note that Lens have kept just one clean sheet in 10 matches across all competitions this season. 70% of the Ligue 1 side’s matches have also seen both sides hit the back of the net overall, while PSV have also only failed to score in one match since the beginning of the campaign.

Yes/No
Yes1.601.601.551.531.58
No2.252.302.292.402.35

Lens vs PSV: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Most betting sites are also offering lines pertaining to the total number of goals scored in the game, with 2.5 being the single most popular. Interestingly, Lens and PSV have contested 23 games so far this season, with these encounters yielding 75 goals at a rate of 3.26 per game. PSV’s 13 matches alone have produced 49 goals at an even higher rate of 3.76 per game in 2023/24.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.731.731.671.671.70
Under 2.5 Goals2.052.002.062.002.10

✔️ Lens vs PSV - Betting Tips

As you can see from the ante post odds, Lens vs PSV is likely to be a keenly contested game between two evenly matched sides. This can make it challenging to make informed selections, so here are some betting tips to help you on your way!

  • Tip 1: Back Lens to Win: Because the bookies are finding it hard to pick a clear winner themselves, you can access competitive odds on both sides to prevail at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis. In fact, Lens are priced as high as 2.35 with LegendPlay to beat PSV, which I think is highly competitive given their recent, five-game unbeaten run in all competitions and their impressive home form over the course of the last 18 months.
  • Tip 2: Back Both Sides to Score (BTTS): According to the latest odds, there’s a higher implied probability of both sides scoring in France, while this is certainly borne out by the statistics. For example, PSV have scored in 90% of their matches overall this season, while Lens have kept a single clean sheet in 10 outings. PSV’s average of 35.0 shot creating actions per 90 is also the third highest in the 2023/24 UEFA Champions League, so get on BTTS at a price of 1.60 with Dachbet.
  • Tip 3: Back Lens to Win With Over 2.5 Goals Scored: When placing a qualifying wager as part of a free bet offer, you’ll often have to meet minimum odds requirements. This may require you to seek out higher risk combination bets, such as backing Lens to win with over 2.5 goals scored in the game. However, this unlocks a competitive price of 3.40 with Betway, while it combines two betting markets that are both favoured by our recommended sportsbooks.

1️⃣ Lens Update

After finishing second in Ligue 1 last season, Lens endured a torrid start to the 2023/24 campaign, going winless in their first five games and losing four of these. However, their 1-0 defeat at home to Metz on September 16th served as a catalyst for the side’s subsequent five-game unbeaten run, which has included wins against Strasbourg, Toulouse and Arsenal and a 1-1 draw in Seville. The team have also improved defensively during this time and managed to concede just four goals, after shipping 11 in their first five matches of the campaign. They’ve also completed 103 ball recoveries and won 50% of their aerial duels in this years’ UCL, highlighting their improved level of performance without the ball.

Last 5 Games
Lens 1
Lille 1
08.10.23
Ligue 1
Lens 2
Arsenal 1
03.10.23
Champions League
Strasbourg 0
Lens 1
29.09.23
Ligue 1
Lens 2
Toulouse 1
24.09.23
Ligue 1
Sevilla 1
Lens 1
20.09.23
Champions League

Lens have three injury doubts ahead of the visit of PSV, namely midfielder Jimmy Cabot (cruciate ligament tear), Massadio Haidara (unknown injury) and left back Kevin Danso (adductor pain). Centre back Jonathan Gradit will be available though, as his domestic suspension doesn’t apply in Europe.

Player Reason
Jimmy Cabot Cruciate Ligament Tear
Massadio Haidara Unknown Injury
Kevin Danso Adductor Injury

2️⃣ PSV Update

While PSV looked a little lacking in their 4-0 loss at Arsenal in gameweek one of the 2023/24 UCL, their domestic form has been incredibly impressive since the beginning of the season. To this end, they’ve recorded seven successive Eredivisie wins and are the only side in the division with a 100% record, while they’ve triumphed by two goals or more in each one of these encounters. Interestingly, they also dominated Seville and produced 26 attempts at goals during a thrilling 2-2 draw in gameweek two, while their tally of 48 attempted take-ons is the joint-highest in this years’ Champions League so far.

Last 5 Games
Sparta Rotterdam 0
PSV 4
08.10.23
Eredivisie
PSV 2
Sevilla 2
03.10.23
Champions League
PSV 3
FC Volendam 1
30.09.23
Eredivisie
PSV 3
Go Ahead Eagles 0
27.09.23
Eredivisie
Almere 0
PSV 4
23.09.23
Eredivisie

Defenders Mauro Júnior and Armando Obispo (both knee) remain long-term absentees for PSV, while Isaac Babadi is also now a doubt with an unknown injury. Left winger Noah Lang may also miss out with a hamstring strain, while attacking midfielder Malik Tillman has a minor knock and will face a fitness test before the trip to Lens.

Player Reason
Mauro Júnior Knee Injury
Armando Obispo Knee Injury
Noah Lang Hamstring Injury
Isaac Babadi Unknown Injury
Malik Tillman Minor Knock

👕 Lens vs PSV - Potential Lineups

Pos. Lens
3-4-2-1
PSV
4-3-3
Pos.
Goalkeeper B. Samba W. Benítez Goalkeeper
Right Centre Back R. Aguilar J. Teze Right Back
Centre Back J. Gradit A. Ramalho Silva Centre Back
Left Centre Back F. Medina O. Boscagli Centre Back
Right Wing Back P. Frankowski S. Dest Left Back
Midfielder N. Mendy J. Schouten Midfielder
Midfielder S. Abdul Samed M. Tillman Midfielder
Left Wing Back D. Machado J. Veerman Midfielder
Attacking Midfielder F. Sotoca J. Bakayoko Wide Forward
Attacking Midfielder A. Thomasson L. de Jong Striker
Striker E. Wahi H. Lozano Wide Forward

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of Irish betting sites, Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

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