Lens vs PSV Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
| Timetable | 20:00 GMT 24 Oct 23 |
| Prediction | Lens to Win! |
| Odds | @ 2.30 |
| Bookmaker | Lunubet Sports |
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RC Lens appear to have finally turned the corner of late, embarking on a five-match unbeaten run after losing four of their first five Ligue 1 matches and slumping to the bottom of the table. Their 2-1 win over Arsenal at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis was also impressive, as they restricted their opponents to very few chances while remaining threatening in transition. As for PSV, they’re in excellent form and have maintained a 100% record in the Eredivisie, while their 4-0 thrashing at Arsenal remains their only defeat so far in 2023/24. In this football betting guide, I’ll explore the most popular wagering markets for this Champions League clash while making my own prediction about the final result!
🏆 Lens vs PSV UCL Prediction
These sides have never previously played one another in UEFA competition, while Lens are only making their third appearance in the UCL group stages this season. Conversely, PSV have a rich heritage in the European Cup and Champions League, winning the former in 1987/88 while also lifting the UEFA Cup a decade earlier in 1977/78.
PSV are also in better form than Lens, despite the French side’s recent upturn in fortunes. To this end, they’ve won 11 and lost just one of their 13 matches in all competitions this season, while plundering 38 goals at a rate of 2.92 per game. They also lifted the Johan Cruyff Shield on August 4th, after beating their bitter rivals and defending Eredivisie champions Feyenoord 1-0 at the latter’s De Kuip Stadium.
However, Lens have rediscovered their mojo and appear to be reserving their best form for the UCL, while it should be remembered that they complied a domestic home record of 17 wins and just one defeat in 19 matches last season. They’ve only been beaten once in their previous five games at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis too, while their triumph over Arsenal may inspire them to another important (albeit close) victory against PSV in midweek!
My Prediction: 🏆 RC Lens 2 – 1 PSV ⚽
💯 Lens vs PSV UCL Match Odds
You’ll be able to access a huge range of Lens vs PSV wagering markets at our recommended betting sites, some of which offer slightly more competitive odds than others. So, let’s take a closer look at the most popular betting markets and the prices published by bookies!
Lens vs PSV: Match Winner
Unsurprisingly, there’s no obvious favourite to win the match between Lens and PSV, although the home side have a higher implied probability of prevailing according to the odds. Let’s explore the latest prices in more detail.
| Team | .png) |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens to Win | 2.30 | 2.30 | 2.25 | 2.20 | 2.35 |
| PSV to Win | 3.00 | 2.88 | 2.88 | 2.90 | 2.80 |
| Draw | 3.00 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
Lens vs PSV: Both Teams To Score
When it comes to betting on both sides to score (BTTS) or not, it’s important to note that Lens have kept just one clean sheet in 10 matches across all competitions this season. 70% of the Ligue 1 side’s matches have also seen both sides hit the back of the net overall, while PSV have also only failed to score in one match since the beginning of the campaign.
| Yes/No | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.55 | 1.53 | 1.58 |
| No | 2.25 | 2.30 | 2.29 | 2.40 | 2.35 |
Lens vs PSV: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Most betting sites are also offering lines pertaining to the total number of goals scored in the game, with 2.5 being the single most popular. Interestingly, Lens and PSV have contested 23 games so far this season, with these encounters yielding 75 goals at a rate of 3.26 per game. PSV’s 13 matches alone have produced 49 goals at an even higher rate of 3.76 per game in 2023/24.
| Under/Over | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.73 | 1.73 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.05 | 2.00 | 2.06 | 2.00 | 2.10 |
✔️ Lens vs PSV - Betting Tips
As you can see from the ante post odds, Lens vs PSV is likely to be a keenly contested game between two evenly matched sides. This can make it challenging to make informed selections, so here are some betting tips to help you on your way!
- Tip 1: Back Lens to Win: Because the bookies are finding it hard to pick a clear winner themselves, you can access competitive odds on both sides to prevail at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis. In fact, Lens are priced as high as 2.35 with LegendPlay to beat PSV, which I think is highly competitive given their recent, five-game unbeaten run in all competitions and their impressive home form over the course of the last 18 months.
- Tip 2: Back Both Sides to Score (BTTS): According to the latest odds, there’s a higher implied probability of both sides scoring in France, while this is certainly borne out by the statistics. For example, PSV have scored in 90% of their matches overall this season, while Lens have kept a single clean sheet in 10 outings. PSV’s average of 35.0 shot creating actions per 90 is also the third highest in the 2023/24 UEFA Champions League, so get on BTTS at a price of 1.60 with Dachbet.
- Tip 3: Back Lens to Win With Over 2.5 Goals Scored: When placing a qualifying wager as part of a free bet offer, you’ll often have to meet minimum odds requirements. This may require you to seek out higher risk combination bets, such as backing Lens to win with over 2.5 goals scored in the game. However, this unlocks a competitive price of 3.40 with Betway, while it combines two betting markets that are both favoured by our recommended sportsbooks.
1️⃣ Lens Update
After finishing second in Ligue 1 last season, Lens endured a torrid start to the 2023/24 campaign, going winless in their first five games and losing four of these. However, their 1-0 defeat at home to Metz on September 16th served as a catalyst for the side’s subsequent five-game unbeaten run, which has included wins against Strasbourg, Toulouse and Arsenal and a 1-1 draw in Seville. The team have also improved defensively during this time and managed to concede just four goals, after shipping 11 in their first five matches of the campaign. They’ve also completed 103 ball recoveries and won 50% of their aerial duels in this years’ UCL, highlighting their improved level of performance without the ball.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Lens 1 Lille 1 | 08.10.23 Ligue 1 |
| Lens 2 Arsenal 1 | 03.10.23 Champions League |
| Strasbourg 0 Lens 1 | 29.09.23 Ligue 1 |
| Lens 2 Toulouse 1 | 24.09.23 Ligue 1 |
| Sevilla 1 Lens 1 | 20.09.23 Champions League |
Lens have three injury doubts ahead of the visit of PSV, namely midfielder Jimmy Cabot (cruciate ligament tear), Massadio Haidara (unknown injury) and left back Kevin Danso (adductor pain). Centre back Jonathan Gradit will be available though, as his domestic suspension doesn’t apply in Europe.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Jimmy Cabot | Cruciate Ligament Tear |
| Massadio Haidara | Unknown Injury |
| Kevin Danso | Adductor Injury |
2️⃣ PSV Update
While PSV looked a little lacking in their 4-0 loss at Arsenal in gameweek one of the 2023/24 UCL, their domestic form has been incredibly impressive since the beginning of the season. To this end, they’ve recorded seven successive Eredivisie wins and are the only side in the division with a 100% record, while they’ve triumphed by two goals or more in each one of these encounters. Interestingly, they also dominated Seville and produced 26 attempts at goals during a thrilling 2-2 draw in gameweek two, while their tally of 48 attempted take-ons is the joint-highest in this years’ Champions League so far.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam 0 PSV 4 | 08.10.23 Eredivisie |
| PSV 2 Sevilla 2 | 03.10.23 Champions League |
| PSV 3 FC Volendam 1 | 30.09.23 Eredivisie |
| PSV 3 Go Ahead Eagles 0 | 27.09.23 Eredivisie |
| Almere 0 PSV 4 | 23.09.23 Eredivisie |
Defenders Mauro Júnior and Armando Obispo (both knee) remain long-term absentees for PSV, while Isaac Babadi is also now a doubt with an unknown injury. Left winger Noah Lang may also miss out with a hamstring strain, while attacking midfielder Malik Tillman has a minor knock and will face a fitness test before the trip to Lens.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Mauro Júnior | Knee Injury |
| Armando Obispo | Knee Injury |
| Noah Lang | Hamstring Injury |
| Isaac Babadi | Unknown Injury |
| Malik Tillman | Minor Knock |
👕 Lens vs PSV - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Lens 3-4-2-1 | PSV 4-3-3 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | B. Samba | W. Benítez | Goalkeeper |
| Right Centre Back | R. Aguilar | J. Teze | Right Back |
| Centre Back | J. Gradit | A. Ramalho Silva | Centre Back |
| Left Centre Back | F. Medina | O. Boscagli | Centre Back |
| Right Wing Back | P. Frankowski | S. Dest | Left Back |
| Midfielder | N. Mendy | J. Schouten | Midfielder |
| Midfielder | S. Abdul Samed | M. Tillman | Midfielder |
| Left Wing Back | D. Machado | J. Veerman | Midfielder |
| Attacking Midfielder | F. Sotoca | J. Bakayoko | Wide Forward |
| Attacking Midfielder | A. Thomasson | L. de Jong | Striker |
| Striker | E. Wahi | H. Lozano | Wide Forward |
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of Irish betting sites, Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.
