Feyenoord v Atlético Madrid Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

feyenoord-v-atletico-madrid -logo feyenoord-v-atletico-madrid -logo
TournamentChampions League
Timetable20:00 GMT, 28th Nov 23
PredictionAtletico Madrid to Win!
BookmakerDachbet Sports
Atletico Madrid to Win!
The best odds
Dach​bet Sports
Odds : 2.50
Bet €100 and win €250 if Atletico Madrid win.
Legend Play Sports
Odds : 2.50
Bet €100 and win €250 if Atletico Madrid win.
Odds : 2.47
Bet €100 and win €247 if Atletico Madrid win.
feyenoord-v-atletico-madrid -logo feyenoord-v-atletico-madrid -logo

Champions League Group E remains incredibly tight, and while Feyenoord are currently outside the two qualification places, a win at home to Atletico Madrid would ensure they had their fate in their own hands ahead of a trip to Celtic Park in gameweek six. The ‘Pride of Rotterdam’ are also formidable at De Kuip, while Atletico have won just three of their eight away games this season and are yet to triumph on the road in the UCL. But which side do I think will win here, and how are the best betting sites pricing this match and its markets?

🏆 Feyenoord v Atlético Madrid UCL Prediction

These sides first did battle in the UEFA Champions League in gameweek two, when Atletico Madrid overcame Feyenoord 3-2 in a thrilling match at the Metropolitan Stadium. This game also saw a clash of two distinct and opposing styles, as Feyenoord looked to dominate possession and sustain attacks while Atletico remained in their defensive shape and play primarily on the counterattack.

I expect the same pattern to play out at De Kuip, especially as Feyenoord have averaged 56.0% possession across their four Group E matches so far (compared to 53.5% for Atletico). However, Atletico have been more efficient with the ball in this season’s Champions League, as 42.1% of their attempts on goal have been on target (compared to just 32.2% for their opponents).

Incredibly, Atletico are also outperforming their xG by a staggering +5.3 goals, having scored 12 times in their four group stages matches at a rate of 3.00 per game. Conversely, Feyenoord have underperformed their xG value of 7.5 by -1.5 goals, while their profligacy in front of goal cost them dear in the reverse fixture in October.

Atletico also boast the tournament’s most potent strike partnership, with Alvaro Morata (5) and Antoine Griezmann (4) contributing nine goals from a combined xG value of just 4.5. This pair also shared all three goals from just three shots on the target in the gameweek two victory, and this type of ruthlessness and accuracy in front of goal could make the difference once again in Rotterdam.

My Prediction: 🏆 Feyenoord 1 – 2 Atletico Madrid ⚽

💯 Feyenoord v Atlético Madrid UCL Match Odds

Regardless of which sportsbook you choose after reading Betinireland’s bookmaker reviews, you’ll find a huge range of Feyenoord vs Atlético Madrid betting markets. In addition to the match winner, you can also wager on BTTS and the over/under on total goals scored in the game, so let’s take a closer look at these markets and their latest odds!

🏅 Feyenoord v Atlético Madrid: Match Winner

Despite boasting home advantage and an exceptional record at De Kuip, Feyenoord will be the slight underdogs when they entertain Atletico Madrid. However, this market is tight and competitive, and the odds still imply a 38.46% probability that Feyenoord will prevail in front of their own fans.

Feyenoord to Win2.632.632.592.602.60
Atlético Madrid to Win2.502.402.472.452.50

⚽ Feyenoord v Atlético Madrid: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in nine of Feyenoord’s 17 matches across all competitions this season, while they’ve only failed to find the net in one of their last 15 outings (the 1-0 defeat at Lazio in UCL gameweek four). As for Atletico, both competing sides have found the net in 10 of their 16 matches in 2023/24, while Diego Simeone’s men have scored in 12 consecutive games since September 16th.


🥅 Feyenoord v Atlético Madrid: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

So far in the 2023/24 campaign, Feyenoord and Atletico have contested 33 matches between them, with these encounters producing 116 goals at a rate of 3.51 per game. De Kuip has hosted nine matches in all competition this seasons (which have yielded 30 goals at a rate of 3.33 per game), so the odds unsurprisingly imply a higher probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the contest.

Over 2.5 Goals1.701.731.691.731.73
Under 2.5 Goals2.

✔️ Feyenoord v Atlético Madrid - Betting Tips

You can leverage these markets with either qualifying for free bets at your chosen sportsbook. Want to make the most informed selections, read our matched betting guide! Here are some expert betting tips to help you on your way!

  • Tip 1: Back Atletico to Win Outright: The bookies are split on which team will win in Rotterdam, thanks to Feyenoord’s impressive home form and Atletico’s immense European pedigree and efficiency in front of goal. So, there’s value in backing Atletico to win outright at a price of 2.50 with Dachbet Sports, especially when you also consider the away side’s defensive organisation and counterattacking ability.
  • Tip 2: Back Atletico to Win and Both Teams to Score: Even if Atletico do win in Rotterdam, Feyenoord will be competitive throughout and retain an incredible attacking threat (they’ve produced 26.00 shot-creating actions per 90 in this season’s UCL). Feyenoord have only failed to score once in their last 15 games too, while Atletico have found the net in 12 successive matches. So, get on Atletico to win and both sides to score at a price of 4.33 with Betway.
  • Tip 3: Back Atletico to Win With Over 2.5 Goals Scored: You can create further value in match betting by simultaneously backing Atletico to win with over 2.5 goals scored in the game at a price of 3.80 with TonyBet Sports. Remember, the matches featuring these teams have produced 116 goals at a rate of 3.51 per game, while Alvaro Morata, Antoine Griezmann and Feyenoord’s Santiago Giménez have scored 11 goals between them in the UCL from a combined xG value of just 6.2.

1️⃣ Feyenoord Update

While defending Eredivisie champions Feyenoord have won nine and lost just one of their 12 league games in 2023/24, they remain seven points behind runaway leaders PSV (who have a 100% record with 12 successive victories). When it comes to the UCL, they’ve produced convincing victories over Celtic and Lazio at De Kuip and lost twice on the road, while scoring seven goals and conceding on five occasions. A defeat against Atletico would eliminate them from the competition if Lazio also beat Celtic in Rome, so they’ll need to execute their attacking gameplan well and successfully nullify their opponents’ strength in transition.

Last 5 Games
Feyenoord 1
AZ Alkmaar 0
Lazio 1
Feyenoord 0
Champions League
RKC Waalwijk 1
Feyenoord 2
FC Twente 2
Feyenoord 1
Feyenoord 3
Lazio 1
Champions League

A couple of Feyenoord players have picked up injuries during the recent international break, namely Lutsharel Geertruida (unknown injury) and Alireza Jahanbakhsh (hamstring). Young right winger Yankuba Minteh also remains a doubt with his own hamstring strain, although he may be fit again in time for the visit of Atletico.

Lutsharel Geertruida Unknown Injury
Alireza Jahanbakhsh Hamstring Injury
Yankuba Minteh Hamstring Injury

2️⃣ Atletico Madrid Update

While Atletico Madrid are fourth in La Liga, they have a game in hand over their rivals and would move above third place Barcelona with a win. In all competitions, Diego Simeone’s men have contested 16 matches and earned 11 wins, while incurring only two defeats and scoring 41 goals at a rate of 2.56 per game. More recently, they’ve only lost one of their last 12 matches in La Liga and the Champions League, while they’re unbeaten on the road in this season’s UCL after drawing at Lazio and Celtic. The side’s 6-0 thrashing of Celtic also showcased their ruthless edge, with the team’s goals-per-shots ratio of 0.21 the best in the competition through 2023/24.

Last 5 Games
Atletico Madrid 3
Villareal 1
La Liga
Atletico Madrid 6
Celtic 0
Champions League
Las Palmas 2
Atletico Madrid 1
La Liga
Atletico Madrid 2
Alaves 1
La Liga
Celtic 2
Atletico Madrid 2
Champions League

Atletico remain without long-term absentees in the form of left back Reinildo Mandava (cruciate ligament tear) and winger Vitolo (knee). French forward Thomas Lemar is also ruled out as he continues his recovery from an Achilles tendon rupture, while Memphis Depay remains a huge doubt with a muscle injury too.

Reinildo Mandava Cruciate Ligament Tear
Vitolo Knee Injury
Thomas Lemar Achilles Tendon Rupture
Memphis Depay Muscle Injury

👕 Feyenoord v Atlético Madrid - Potential Lineups

Pos. Feyenoord
Atletico Madrid
Goalkeeper J. Bijlow J. Oblak Goalkeeper
Right Back B. Nieuwkoop C. Azpilicueta Right Centre Back
Centre Back G. Trauner A. Witsel Centre Back
Centre Back D. Hancko M. Hermoso Left Centre Back
Left Back Q. Hartman N. Molina Right Wing Back
Midfielder M. Wieffer S. Ñíguez Midfielder
Midfielder Q. Timber Koke Midfielder
Midfielder C. Stengs P. Barrios Midfielder
Wide Forward L. Ivanušec S. Lino Left Wing Back
Striker S. Gimenez A. Morata Striker
Wide Forward I. Paixão A. Griezmann Striker

Atletico Madrid to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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