Braga vs Real Madrid Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

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TournamentChampions League
Timetable20:00 GMT 24 Oct 23
PredictionReal Madrid to Win!
Odds@ 1.50
BookmakerDachbet Sports
Real Madrid to Win!
The best odds
1.
Dach​bet Sports
Odds : 1.50
Bet €100 and win €150 if Madrid win.
Bonus:
2.
betway
Odds : 1.48
Bet €100 and win €148 if Madrid win.
Bonus:
€50+ 50 Free Spins
3.
Betiton
Odds : 1.46
Bet €100 and win €146 if Madrid win.
Bonus:
€10
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Braga came through two qualifying rounds to reach the group stages of the Champions League, after earning a third-place finish in the Primeira Liga in 2022/23. The side’s thrilling 3-2 win at Union Berlin last time out also kickstarted their UCL campaign, while they have an impressive domestic home record that has seen them lose just six out of 38 matches at the Estádio Municipal de Braga since the beginning of the 2021/22 campaign. However, Madrid remain omnipotent in the Champions League and currently top La Liga too, so remain the overwhelming favourites to win in Portugal. Here’s my detailed Braga vs Madrid football betting guide and personal take on who will win!

🏆 Braga vs Real Madrid UCL Prediction

Given the chasm that exists between these two sides in terms of their historic attainment and pedigree, it’s not really surprising that they’ve never met before in competitive matches. It’s also interesting to note that Real Madrid have played a staggering 478 matches in European Cup and Champions League tournaments (winning 287 of these), while Braga have only contested 24 since first qualifying for the UCL ahead of the 2010/11 season.

Of course, both sides are more evenly matched in terms of their most recent form, with Braga winning their last four matches in all competitions (scoring 13 goals during this run) and Los Blancos also claiming four consecutive victories since a 3-1 defeat to bitter rivals Atletico on September 24th. However, Madrid’s run of good form also extends back to the tail end of last season, with the recent derby loss the side’s sole defeat in 14 matches since May 1st.

So, while Madrid are far from fallible and can occasionally be vulnerable in defensive transitions, they’re incredibly hard to beat and currently boast arguably the world’s best player in midfielder Jude Bellingham. Given this and Madrid’s superior individual quality, I’m backing them to record a comfortable victory at the Estádio Municipal de Braga.

My Prediction: 🏆 Braga 1 - 3 Real Madrid ⚽

💯 Braga vs Real Madrid UCL Match Odds

You can bet on a huge selection of outcomes and markets ahead of the Braga vs Real Madrid match, including the match winner or result, whether both sides will score (or not) and the over/under for total goals scored in the game. Here’s the relevant odds from the best Champions League betting sites.

🏅 Braga vs Real Madrid: Match Winner

Obviously, betting on the Braga vs Real Madrid match winner or outcome is the most popular wagering market, although Los Blancos are the favourites to beat their less esteemed rivals.

Team
Braga to Win5.805.505.555.256.00
Real Madrid to Win1.501.481.461.441.50
Draw4.504.504.654.404.50

⚽ Braga vs Real Madrid: Both Teams To Score

You can also bet on whether both sides will score (BTTS) or not in the clash between Braga and Real Madrid. Interestingly, Braga have only kept clean sheets in two of their 14 competitive matches so far this season, with the last of these coming against Panathinaikos in the second leg of a UCL qualifying tie on August 29th.

Yes/No
Yes1.551.601.541.571.50
No2.352.302.332.302.11

🥅 Braga vs Real Madrid: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Braga’s encounters have certainly been goal-laden this season, with their 14 matches in all competitions yielding 54 goals at a rate of 3.85 per game. While the corresponding value for Madrid is a little lower at 2.90, the statistics suggest that we’re likely to see over 2.5 goals scored in this particular Champions League game.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals1.401.481.431.441.47
Under 2.5 Goals2.452.502.602.602.50

✔️Braga vs Real Madrid - Betting Tips

There are some relatively short price outcomes and markets in play here, and navigating these in a way that optimises your potential returns can be challenging. So, I’ve prepared some insightful betting tips to help you get the most from your starting bankroll!

  • Tip 1: Back Madrid to Win and Both Sides to Score: You can get a market high price of 1.50 on Los Blancos to beat Braga, but this offers minimal value when wagering with a nominal stake. However, both of these sides have potent attacks, while Braga haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their previous eight matches across all competitions. So, consider building a combination bet that backs Madrid to win and both sides to score at a price of 2.70 with Betway, as this will create additional value without incurring significantly higher risk.
  • Tip 2: Back There to be Over 2.5 Goals Scored: You can also bet on over 2.5 goals being scored in the game at a price of 1.48 with Betway, which seems like a no-brainer given the respective attacking qualities of each side. Also, Braga and Madrid have played a combined total of 25 matches so far this season, with these producing 86 goals at an impressive rate of 3.44 per game.
  • Tip 3: Back Madrid with a Small Handicap of -1.5 Goals: Another way to create value when backing Madrid to win is by applying a small handicap to the favourites, in this case of -1.5 goals. While this incurs greater risk by requiring Los Blancos to win by two clear goals or more, it arguably reflects the difference in quality between the two sides and their respective Euro Club Index ratings (2nd vs 47th). You can back Madrid to win with a -1.5-goal handicap at a price of 2.30 with LegendPlay, while this wager is ideal when leveraging a free bet offer at your chosen sportsbook.

1️⃣ Braga Update

You’re almost guaranteed an entertaining contest when Braga play, with the team’s previous seven matches alone producing a total of 31 goals at a rate of 4.42 per game. This stat highlights both the team’s attacking qualities and its defensive vulnerabilities, with the enforced absence of 23-year-old right back Víctor Gómez certainly making Braga more porous. However, Braga’s form has definitely improved of late after a difficult start to the season, with the team’s recent four-match winning run following a period of just one victory in four across all competitions. So, they should at least kick off against Madrid in more confident mood!

Last 5 Games
Braga 2
Rio Ave 1
07.10.23
Primeira Liga
Union Berlin 2
Braga3
03.10.23
Champions League
C.F. Estrela da Amadora 2
Braga 4
28.09.23
Primeira Liga
Braga 4
Boavista 1
24.09.23
Primeira Liga
Braga 1
Napoli 2
20.09.23
Champions League

Aside from the muscle injury to Víctor Gómez (which is likely to rule the Spaniard out of the clash against Madrid), Sporting Braga are all at full strength ahead of Los Blancos’ visit. This will afford them the best possible chance of creating a Champions League shock!

Player Reason
Víctor Gómez Muscle Injury

2️⃣ Real Madrid Update

Madrid have been typically efficient in both the attacking and defensive thirds so far this season, despite not yet hitting top gear. This is reflected by their performance in relation to expected goals, with Los Blancos having scored 2.7 goals more than projected so far this season. They’ve also outperformed their expected goals-against tally by a whopping 5.50 in La Liga, while losing just one of their previous 14 games dating back to the end of 2022/23 campaign. Jude Bellingham embodies Madrid’s effectiveness this season too, scoring 10 goals and registering three assists in 10 just appearances while also providing an impressive 24 shot-creating actions.

Last 5 Games
Real Madrid4
Osasuna 0
07.10.23
La Liga
Napoli 2
Real Madrid 3
03.10.23
Champions League
Girona 0
Real Madrid 3
30.09.23
La Liga
Real Madrid 2
Las Palmas 0
27.09.23
La Liga
Atletico Madrid 3
Real Madrid 1
24.09.23
La Liga

Madrid could be boosted by the return of experienced Austrian defender David Alaba in Portugal, as he completes his recovery from adductor problems. However, keeper Thibaut Courtois and centre-back Éder Militão (both ruptured cruciate ligaments) remain long-term absentees, while backup goalie Andriy Lunin is also a doubt with a back complaint.

Player Reason
Thibaut Courtois Ruptured Cruciate Ligament
Éder Militão Ruptured Cruciate Ligament
Andriy Lunin Back Injury

👕 Braga vs Real Madrid - Potential Lineups

Pos. Braga
4-2-3-1
Real Madrid
4-3-1-2
Pos.
Goalkeeper Matheus K. Arrizabalaga Goalkeeper
Right Back J. Mendes D. Carvajal Right Back
Centre Back J. Fonte Nacho Centre Back
Centre Back S. Saatçı A. Rudiger Centre Back
Left Back A. Marin F. Mendy Left Back
Midfielder R. Zalazar F. Valverde Midfielder
Midfielder Al-Musrati L. Modric Midfielder
Midfielder Pizzi E. Camavinga Midfielder
Wide Forward A. Djaló J. Bellingham Attacking Midfielder
Striker S. Banza Joselu Striker
Wide Forward Bruma V. Junior Striker

Real Madrid to Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of Irish betting sites, including Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.

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