Benfica vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Benfica vs Real Sociedad UCL Prediction

Surprisingly, these two sides have never met in UEFA tournaments, while Benfica have far greater pedigree in European football. To this end, they’ve contested 10 major UEFA finals and won two European Cups, the last of which came in 1962. Conversely, Sociedad have yet to even qualify for a major European final, with their best performance coming in the 1982/93 UEFA Cup when Hamburger SV knocked them out at the semi-final stage.

In terms of recent form, Benfica have won seven of their previous nine matches dating back to August 14th, with their two defeats both coming in the UCL. Sociedad are also in relatively good form, losing just one of their last six games in all competitions since a 2-1 defeat at Real Madrid on September 17th. However, Sociedad’s form away from home has been underwhelming so far, while Benfica have won three of their four games at the Estádio da Luz while keeping three clean sheets (Salzburg are the only team to score there this season).

The stats also show that Benfica like to dominate possession, with the side boasting 63.0% of the ball on average across all their Primeira Liga matches in 2023/24. Their tally of 225 progressive carries is also a league high, so I expect them to take game to Sociedad from the outset. Due to this and Benfica’s pressing need to win, I’m tipping them to edge a tight game by the odd goal.

💯 Benfica vs Real Sociedad UCL Match Odds

Regardless of your allegiances, there are plenty of ante post wagering markets focused on this particular UCL game. Below, you’ll find real-time odds from the market leading sportsbooks across the most popular Benfica vs Real Sociedad betting markets. Let’s take a closer look!

Benfica vs Real Sociedad: Match Winner

There’s no overwhelming favourite to win this game, although the ante post odds do imply a slightly higher probability of Benfica beating Sociedad in Lisbon. Here’s the latest odds from the best Champions League betting sites.

Team
Benfica to Win	2.00	2.10	2.07	2.15	2.00
Real Sociedad to Win	3.40	3.30	3.35	3.30	3.50
Draw	3.40	3.30	3.35	3.50	3.40

Benfica vs Real Sociedad: Both Teams To Score

In terms of even money markets, betting on both sides to score (BTTS) or not is arguably the most popular. This is tough market to gauge in this instance, however, with Benfica having kept three clean sheets in four home games this season and Sociedad performing inconsistently in the defensive third throughout 2023/24 so far.

Yes/No
Yes	1.80	1.83	1.72	1.70	1.72
No	1.95	1.95	2.00	2.00	1.91

Benfica vs Real Sociedad: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

You can also engage in totals wagering relating to the number of goals scored in the game, with 2.5 goals representing the most popular betting line. Interestingly, Benfica and Sociedad have played a combined total of 22 matches this season, with these having produced 63 goals at a rate of 2.86 per game.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	2.00	1.95	1.90	1.95	2.00
Under 2.5 Goals	1.75	1.78	1.79	1.80	1.70

1️⃣ Benfica Update

Benfica’s run of seven wins in their last nine matches has been built on solid domestic form, as they haven’t dropped a point in the Primeira Liga since an opening day defeat at Boavista on August 14th. They’ve only conceded four goals domestically during this run too, although the side has also shipped three in just two Champions League matches during the same timeframe. While this hints at some defensive vulnerability (especially in transition and against higher level opponents), their performance metrics this season have been highly impressive, especially in terms of ball possession, progressive carries and the number of progressive passes in the final two thirds of the pitch (511).

Benfica could well be without experienced winger Angel Di Maria against Sociedad, after the Argentine legend and former Real Madrid star injured his thigh in the 1-0 defeat at Inter. Danish right back Alexander Bah is also a doubt with an unknown injury that was incurred prior to the international break.

2️⃣ Real Sociedad Update

Sociedad’s narrow 2-1 defeat to Atletico Madrid on October 8th ended a five-match unbeaten run, which had included a credible draw at home to Inter and impressive 2-0 win at RB Salzburg in the Champions League. Interestingly, this sequence featured three clean sheets and a seven-goal thriller against Getafe at the Reale Arena, which was the second time that Sociedad had conceded three goals in a single game in 2023/24. The team certainly seems to be a little more efficient and consistent in the attacking third, with their goals per shots on target value of 0.48 the joint highest in La Liga alongside Atletico.

Real Sociedad have a largely fully fit quad to choose from at the time of writing, with 28-year-old winger Martín Merquelanz the only confirmed absentee with a knee injury. So, they should be able to field a strong 11 against Benfica in Lisbon!

👕 Benfica vs Real Sociedad - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of Betting sites in Ireland, Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.