Benfica vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
| Timetable | 20:00 GMT 24 Oct 23 |
| Prediction | Benfica To Win! |
| Odds | @2.15 |
| Bookmaker | Dachbet Sports |
18+ | New customers only. Min stake €10 | 30 days to qualify | Payment method restrictions exist | Play Responsibly | Terms and Conditions apply. | http://www.begambleaware.org
18+ | New players only | Min. deposit 20EUR | Max number of winnings using bonus funds is 10,000 EUR | Bonus validity 14 days from receipt | Free spins given within 5 days from bonus activation, Wagering req. : 6x bonus + deposit | Wagering, banking, terms & conditions apply | Play Responsibly
18+ | New players only | Min. deposit 10EUR | Max number of winnings using bonus funds is 10,000 EUR | Bonus validity 14 days from receipt | Wagering req. : 16x bonus | Wagering, banking, terms & conditions apply | Play Responsibly
🏆 Benfica vs Real Sociedad UCL Prediction
Surprisingly, these two sides have never met in UEFA tournaments, while Benfica have far greater pedigree in European football. To this end, they’ve contested 10 major UEFA finals and won two European Cups, the last of which came in 1962. Conversely, Sociedad have yet to even qualify for a major European final, with their best performance coming in the 1982/93 UEFA Cup when Hamburger SV knocked them out at the semi-final stage.
In terms of recent form, Benfica have won seven of their previous nine matches dating back to August 14th, with their two defeats both coming in the UCL. Sociedad are also in relatively good form, losing just one of their last six games in all competitions since a 2-1 defeat at Real Madrid on September 17th. However, Sociedad’s form away from home has been underwhelming so far, while Benfica have won three of their four games at the Estádio da Luz while keeping three clean sheets (Salzburg are the only team to score there this season).
The stats also show that Benfica like to dominate possession, with the side boasting 63.0% of the ball on average across all their Primeira Liga matches in 2023/24. Their tally of 225 progressive carries is also a league high, so I expect them to take game to Sociedad from the outset. Due to this and Benfica’s pressing need to win, I’m tipping them to edge a tight game by the odd goal.
My Prediction: 🏆 Benfica 2 - 1 Real Sociedad ⚽
💯 Benfica vs Real Sociedad UCL Match Odds
Regardless of your allegiances, there are plenty of ante post wagering markets focused on this particular UCL game. Below, you’ll find real-time odds from the market leading sportsbooks across the most popular Benfica vs Real Sociedad betting markets. Let’s take a closer look!
Benfica vs Real Sociedad: Match Winner
There’s no overwhelming favourite to win this game, although the ante post odds do imply a slightly higher probability of Benfica beating Sociedad in Lisbon. Here’s the latest odds from the best Champions League betting sites.
| Team | .png) |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica to Win | 2.00 | 2.10 | 2.07 | 2.15 | 2.00 |
| Real Sociedad to Win | 3.40 | 3.30 | 3.35 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.30 | 3.35 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
Benfica vs Real Sociedad: Both Teams To Score
In terms of even money markets, betting on both sides to score (BTTS) or not is arguably the most popular. This is tough market to gauge in this instance, however, with Benfica having kept three clean sheets in four home games this season and Sociedad performing inconsistently in the defensive third throughout 2023/24 so far.
| Yes/No | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.72 | 1.70 | 1.72 |
| No | 1.95 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.91 |
Benfica vs Real Sociedad: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
You can also engage in totals wagering relating to the number of goals scored in the game, with 2.5 goals representing the most popular betting line. Interestingly, Benfica and Sociedad have played a combined total of 22 matches this season, with these having produced 63 goals at a rate of 2.86 per game.
| Under/Over | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.90 | 1.95 | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.79 | 1.80 | 1.70 |
✔️ Benfica vs Real Sociedad - Betting Tips
This is an evenly poised game that’s tough to call, despite Benfica’s heritage and the fact that they reached the quarterfinals of the 2022/23 Champions League. Below, I’ve prepared some expert tips to help you navigate the most popular match betting markets successfully.
- Tip 1: Back Benfica to Win: Due to the evenly matched nature of this game, the bookies haven’t identified an obvious short price favourite. So, there’s inherent value in backing Benfica to win in front of their own fans, especially at a competitive price of 2.15 with TonyBet. It’s also important to remember that Benfica have only lost three of their previous 29 home games across all competitions since the beginning of last season.
- Tip 2: Back There to be Over 2.5 Goals Scored: This even money market is also tough to call, with the bookies erring on the side of under 2.5 goals being scored in the game. However, both sides have capable attacks and are prone to occasional defensive vulnerability, while the 22 matches contested by Benfica and Sociedad in 2023/24 have yielded 63 goals at a rate of 2.86 per game. So, get on over 2.5 goals being scored at a price of 2.00 with LegendPlay.
- Tip 3: Back Benfica to Win by One Goal: If you want to make the most of a free bet offer or simply prefer a less risk averse market, you could also consider backing Benfica to win by a single goal. This reflects the evenly matched nature of the two sides, while it automatically unlocks additional value when engaging in match betting. Currently, you can wager on this outcome at the competitive price of 3.20 with LegendPlay.
1️⃣ Benfica Update
Benfica’s run of seven wins in their last nine matches has been built on solid domestic form, as they haven’t dropped a point in the Primeira Liga since an opening day defeat at Boavista on August 14th. They’ve only conceded four goals domestically during this run too, although the side has also shipped three in just two Champions League matches during the same timeframe. While this hints at some defensive vulnerability (especially in transition and against higher level opponents), their performance metrics this season have been highly impressive, especially in terms of ball possession, progressive carries and the number of progressive passes in the final two thirds of the pitch (511).
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Estoril Praia 0 Benfica 1 | 07.10.23 Primeira Liga |
| Inter 1 Benfica0 | 03.10.23 Champions League |
| Benfica 1 FC Porto0 | 29.09.23 Primeira Liga |
| Portimonense S.C. 1 Benfica 3 | 24.09.23 Primeira Liga |
| Benfica 0 RB Salzburg 2 | 20.09.23 Champions League |
Benfica could well be without experienced winger Angel Di Maria against Sociedad, after the Argentine legend and former Real Madrid star injured his thigh in the 1-0 defeat at Inter. Danish right back Alexander Bah is also a doubt with an unknown injury that was incurred prior to the international break.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Angel Di Maria | Thigh Injury |
| Alexander Bah | Unknown Injury |
2️⃣ Real Sociedad Update
Sociedad’s narrow 2-1 defeat to Atletico Madrid on October 8th ended a five-match unbeaten run, which had included a credible draw at home to Inter and impressive 2-0 win at RB Salzburg in the Champions League. Interestingly, this sequence featured three clean sheets and a seven-goal thriller against Getafe at the Reale Arena, which was the second time that Sociedad had conceded three goals in a single game in 2023/24. The team certainly seems to be a little more efficient and consistent in the attacking third, with their goals per shots on target value of 0.48 the joint highest in La Liga alongside Atletico.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid2 Real Sociedad 1 | 08.10.23 La Liga |
| RB Salzburg 0 Real Sociedad 2 | 03.10.23 Champions League |
| Real Sociedad 3 Athletic Bilbao 0 | 30.09.23 La Liga |
| Valencia 0 Real Sociedad 1 | 27.09.23 La Liga |
| Real Sociedad 4 Getafe 3 | 24.09.23 La Liga |
Real Sociedad have a largely fully fit quad to choose from at the time of writing, with 28-year-old winger Martín Merquelanz the only confirmed absentee with a knee injury. So, they should be able to field a strong 11 against Benfica in Lisbon!
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Martín Merquelanz | Knee Injury |
👕 Benfica vs Real Sociedad - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Benfica 4-2-3-1 | Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | A. Trubin | A. Remiro | Goalkeeper |
| Right Back | F. Aursnes | H. Traoré | Right Back |
| Centre Back | A. Silva | I. Zubeldia | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | N. Otamendi | R. Le Normand | Centre Back |
| Left Back | D. Jurásek | A. Muñoz | Left Back |
| Midfielder | F. Luis | B. Méndez | Midfielder |
| Midfielder | Chiquinho | M. Zubimendi | Midfielder |
| Midfielder | R. Silva | M. Merino | Midfielder |
| Wide Forward | D. Neres | T. Kubo | Wide Forward |
| Striker | P. Musa | M. Oyarzabal | Striker |
| Wide Forward | J. Mário | A. Barrenetxea | Wide Forward |
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
Lewis doesn't just stick to sports; you can also find plenty of casino gaming content. He's reviewed some of the world's leading online casino platforms, while creating blog posts and landing page content for various sports betting brands. His content has also been featured on a number of Betting sites in Ireland, Life Hack, Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Business Insider. He also pens regular sports features for sites including 90 Minutes, Think Football Ideas and Sportsblog.
