Benfica v Inter Milan Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Benfica v Inter Milan UCL Prediction

These two sides have won five European Cup and Champions League titles between them, with Benfica’s two successes coming consecutively in 1961 and 1962. They’ve now gone head-to-head on four occasions too, with Inter winning three times (including the 1965 European Cup final) and the teams sharing a 3-3 draw in the second leg of last season’s quarterfinal.

In this year’s tournament, Inter have proved to be one of the most creative but least efficient teams in front of goal, with their goals – xG value of -3.6 the joint lowest among the 32 competing sides (alongside city rivals AC Milan). They’ve also only averaged 0.5 goals per shot, while Argentine striker Lautaro Martínez embodies these issues having struck twice from 20 shots on goal and an individual xG value of 4.3.

Of course, Benfica have been one of the worst-performing sides in the competition, losing all four of their group stage games while scoring only a single goal. Despite averaging 49.0% possession across their games, they’ve only produced 18.25 shot-creating actions per 90, while their tally of 0.2 goals per shot is the lowest in the competition.

However, they’ll be determined to start making amends in front of their fans, while Inter may lack a little focus having already qualified for the round of 16. Benfica also boast quality individual attacking players in Rafa Silva and Angel Di Maria, and I’m backing them to get their first win of the UCL campaign here and keep their hopes of earning a Europa League place alive.

💯 Benfica v Inter Milan UCL Match Odds

If you browse Betinireland’s comprehensive bookmaker reviews, you’ll see a range of reputable and licensed sportsbooks where you can wager on Benfica vs Inter. But what are the most popular betting markets, and how are they currently being priced?

🏅 Benfica v Inter Milan: Match Winner

Despite Benfica’s tournament performance, the bookies are largely split on which team will win at the Estádio da Luz. For example, Benfica’s average price of 2.50 implies a 40.00% probability of a home win, whereas Inter’s odds of around 2.63 suggest that they have a 38.02% chance of emerging victorious.

Team
Benfica to Win	2.60	2.50	2.50	2.50	2.50
Inter Milan to Win	2.70	2.60	2.62	2.70	2.63
Draw	3.30	3.40	3.35	3.30	3.50

⚽ Benfica v Inter Milan: Both Teams To Score

Both teams have scored in eight of Benfica’s 18 matches this season, with the Eagles keeping seven clean sheets and only failing to score on three occasions (all in the UEFA Champions League). As for Inter, both sides have scored in just six of their 16 encounters (37.5%), with Simone Inzaghi’s men keeping 10 clean sheets and finding the net in every single game.

Yes/No
Yes	1.62	1.70	1.66	1.60	1.67
No	2.15	2.10	2.10	2.20	2.10

🥅 Benfica v Inter Milan: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Benfica and Inter have contested 34 matches combined in 2023/24, with these encounters yielding a total of 91 goals at a rate of 2.67 per game. However, their UCL matches this season have produced 15 goals at a lowly rate of just 1.87 per game, so the leading sportsbooks are hedging their bets when it comes to pricing the over/under 2.5 goals betting line!

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.83	1.80	1.83	1.80	1.83
Under 2.5 Goals	1.87	1.91	1.86	1.90	1.83

1️⃣ Benfica Update

Domestically, Benfica have been typically consistent in 2023/24, winning 12 of their 14 matches and remaining unbeaten in 13 games since a 3-2 defeat at Boavista on August 14th (the opening day of the Primeira Liga season). However, their UCL campaign has been an unmitigated disaster for Roger Schmidt’s men, with the Eagles losing all four matches and scoring just a single goal during a 3-1 defeat at Real Sociedad in gameweek four. No side has scored fewer goals than this in the 2023/24 UCL, although Benfica’s xG value of 3.1 suggests that while the team has been profligate in front of goal, they’re more than capable of creating chances against any opponent.

Benfica could be without several players ahead of Inter’s visit, including winger David Neres who’s struggling with a meniscus injury. Right back Alexander Bah is also sidelined with a foot injury, while full-back Juan Bernat (adductor injury) and midfielder Orkun Kökçü (foot) are expected to miss out too.

2️⃣ Inter Milan Update

Inter’s form has been impressive this season, with a record of 13 wins, two draws and just a single defeat in 16 matches yielding a win rate of 81.25%. The side is also unbeaten in nine games since a shock 2-1 home loss to Sassuolo on September 27th, while they haven’t lost on the road at all since a 2-1 reversal against Napoli on May 21st. As with the previous campaign, this success has been built on outstanding defensive organisation and a well-drilled 3-5-2 formation, with Inter having kept an incredible 10 clean sheets in their 16 matches so far through 2023/24.

Experienced wideman Juan Cuadrado remains unavailable for Inter ahead of their trip to Portugal, with the Colombian recovering from Achilles tendon irritation. Defenders Benjamin Pavard (patellar tendon dislocation) and Alessandro Bastoni (calf injury) will also miss out having been ruled out until December.

👕 Benfica v Inter Milan - Potential Lineups