Tournament | Champions League |
Timetable | 20:00 GMT - 8th Nov 23 |
Prediction | Bayern Munich to Win! |
Odds | 1.20 |
Bookmaker | TonyBet Sports |
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Bayern Munich have dominated UEFA Champions League Group A so far, winning all three of their games and scoring nine goals in the process. In fact, they can secure qualification to the round of 16 with another win over Galatasaray, who were beaten 3-1 in Turkey in the reverse fixture on October 24th. However, Gala performed superbly at Rams Park in Istanbul, while they were arguably the better side for large periods during the game and regularly pinned Bayern back in their own defensive third. In this detailed prediction and football betting guide, I’ll conclude whether Galatasaray can be similarly competitive at the Allianz Arena, or if Bayern’s class will prevail once again.
🏆 Bayern Munich v Galatasaray UCL Prediction
The gameweek three clash in October was just the third encounter between Gala and Bayern, with the two having also clashed swords in the first round of the 1972/73 European Cup. This two-legged tie ended in a thumping 7-1 aggregate win for Bayern, with the prolific Gerd Müller scoring three times across the two matches.
Both teams remain in exceptional form this season, while Bayern and Gala have also performed superbly in the Champions League. They’re particularly strong offensively too, having attempted 47 and 46 shots respectively during the UCL group stages and produced a very similar number of shot-creating actions per 90 (29.33 vs 28.33). Gala also boast the tournament’s fourth highest xG value of 6.3, while they’re the only team to have completed more than 200 ball recoveries this season (204).
However, Bayern have managed to score nine group stage goals from an xG tally of just 4.9, making them the single most ruthless and efficient UCL side in the final third. This is largely down to summer acquisition Harry Kane, who has scored 15 goals in just 10 appearances across all competitions and two from an xG of just 1.4 in the Champions League. I’m tipping the England striker to be the difference again here, in a match where Bayern win and both sides score!
My Prediction: 🏆 Bayern Munich 3 – 2 Galatasaray ⚽
💯 Bayern Munich v Galatasaray UCL Match Odds
Regardless of which sportsbook you choose from Betinireland’s detailed bookmaker reviews, you’ll be able to access a huge range of Bayern vs Gala betting markets. Below, I’ll preview some of the most popular markets along with the latest ante post odds!
🏅 Bayern Munich v Galatasaray: Match Winner
Betinireland’s selection of the best UCL betting sites were among the first to publish their Bayern vs Gala match winner odds, with the Bavarians the ante post favourites to prevail here. But what price can you get on a Galatasaray victory? In case you need more information on the best betting sites feel free to check out our curated list.
Team | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bayern to Win | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
Galatasaray to Win | 13.00 | 11.00 | 11.90 | 12.25 | 12.00 |
Draw | 8.25 | 8.00 | 7.85 | 8.02 | 7.50 |
⚽ Bayern Munich v Galatasaray: Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Gala have scored in 19 consecutive matches this season, having only drawn a blank in a 0-0 draw at Kayserispor on the opening day of the 2023/24 season. They’ve also kept eight clean sheets so far, although both sides have scored in each of Galatasaray’s group stage games this season. As for Bayern, RB Leipzig are the only side to have stopped them scoring (in the DFL-Super Cup on August 12th), while they’ve scored in 15 successive matches since.
Yes/No | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 1.61 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.58 |
No | 2.19 | 2.10 | 2.08 | 2.24 | 2.25 |
🥅 Bayern Munich v Galatasaray: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Not only did the reverse fixture see four goals scored by both sides, but the 36 matches contested by Bayern and Gala in 2023/24 have produced a whopping 126 goals at a rate of 3.5 per game. These teams have conceded more than 1.0 goals per game across the whole of the campaign too, so it’s little wonder the bookies are expecting over 2.5 goals to be scored in this encounter.
Under/Over | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 2.5 Goals | 1.24 | 1.25 | 1.22 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
Under 2.5 Goals | 3.97 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 4.17 | 4.00 |
✔️ Bayern Munich v Galatasaray - Betting Tips
The odds imply a high probability of several outcomes here, including Bayern to win and there being over 2.5 goals scored in the game. This can be challenging when attempting to identify and create value in odds, so I’ve prepared some focused betting tips to help you navigate these markets successfully. Looking to explore other betting strategies, our guide on matched betting tips offers valuable insights.
- Tip 1: Back Over 4.5 Goals Scored: If you want to wager on the over/under for total goals scored, there’s little value to be found around the 2.5 goals betting line. Let’s face it, these sides almost guarantee goals whenever they play, so you may be best served by targeting the over 4.5 goals betting line at an enhanced price of 2.50 with Dachbet Sports. This is reflective of each side’s attacking strengths and occasional defensive vulnerabilities, while you can offset your risk in this market by deploying any free bets that you have on your account.
- Tip 2: Back Harry Kane to Score 2 Goals or More: In potentially high scoring matches like this, you can also unlock value by targeting individual player and goalscorer markets. For example, Harry Kane is in red-hot form for Bayern, while his hattrick against Dortmund at the weekend saw him take his tally to goal contributions for the Bavarians to 20 in just 10 appearances (15 goals and five assists). He was also on target in the reverse fixture in October, so consider backing him to score at least two goals here at a price of 2.90 with TonyBet Sports!
- Tip 3: Back Both Teams to Score in the First Half: Galatasaray’s tally of 204 ball recoveries betrays the energy and tempo of their playing style, and there’s no doubt that they’ll look to take the game to Bayern from the off. They also had 16 attempts at goal in the first 45 minutes against Bayern in gameweek three, while Thomas Tuchel’s men have scored eight goals and conceded none during the opening 15 minutes of all Bundesliga matches this season. So, why not get on both teams to score in the first half at a highly competitive price of 3.60 with TonyBet?
1️⃣ Bayern Update
Bayern have only lost one of their previous 15 matches since Harry Kane’s debut and a harrowing 3-0 Super Cup defeat to RB Leipzig, during which time they’ve won 12 games, drawn two and scored an impressive 52 goals. Even their sole defeat during this run seemed like something of an anomaly, as they were dumped out of the DFB-Pokal at the second round stage by third-tier side FC Saarbrücken. Interestingly, Bayern haven’t lost at the Allianz Arena since May 20th, while it’s interesting to note that they’re undefeated in a staggering 37 group stage UCL games since PSG beat them 3-0 in Paris in September 2017.
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Dortmund 0 Bayern Munich 4 | 04.11.23 Bundesliga |
FC Saarbrücken 2 Bayern Munich 1 | 01.11.23 DFB-Pokal |
Bayern Munich 8 Darmstadt 0 | 28.10.23 Bundesliga |
Galatasaray 1 Bayern Munich 3 | 24.10.23 Champions League |
Mainz 1 Bayern Munich 3 | 21.10.23 Bundesliga |
Raphaël Guerreiro remains absent for Bayern with a torn muscle fibre, which has kept the full back out since October 7th. Dutch centre back Matthijs de Ligt is also expected to miss out with a knee ligament tear, while reserve goalkeeper Tom Hülsmann is unavailable due to a hamstring injury. Joshua Kimmich will also be available, as his domestic ban doesn’t apply in Europe.
Player | Reason |
---|---|
Matthijs de Ligt | Knee Ligament Tear |
Raphaël Guerreiro | Torn Muscle Fibre |
Tom Hülsmann | Hamstring Injury |
2️⃣ Galatasaray Update
Gala’s 3-1 defeat to Bayern in gameweek three ended the Turkish side’s unbeaten start to the season, which had seen them surge to the top of the Süper Lig and defeat Manchester United 3-2 in gameweek two of the UCL (their first ever away win over English opposition in the competition). Even now, they’ve won 16 and lost just one of their 20 matches across all competitions, while canny Argentine striker Mauro Icardi has hit the ground running after his summer transfer and plundered 15 goals in 18 appearances (and five in seven Champions Leagues starts). So, they’ll arrive in Munich in confident mood, and will certainly fancy their chances of scoring at the Allianz.
Last 5 Games | |
---|---|
Galatasaray 2 Kasımpaşa 1 | 03.11.23 Turkish Süper Lig |
Çaykur Rizespor 0 Galatasaray 1 | 28.10.23 Turkish Süper Lig |
Galatasaray 1 Bayern Munich 3 | 24.10.23 Champions League |
Galatasaray 2 Besiktas 1 | 21.10.23 Turkish Süper Lig |
Antalyaspor 0 Galatasaray 2 | 07.10.23 Turkish Süper Lig |
Neither Halil Dervişoğlu or defensive midfielder Eyüp Aydın are eligible to play in this season’s Champions League, as they haven’t been included in Galatasaray’s 25-man UCL squad. Otherwise, the side will be at full strength for the trip to Bayern, with Hakim Ziyech having now fully recovered from a foot injury.
Player | Reason |
---|---|
Halil Dervişoğlu | Ineligible |
Eyüp Aydın | Ineligible |
👕 Bayern Munich vs Galatasaray - Potential Lineups
Pos. | Bayern 4-2-3-1 | Galatasaraybr>4-2-3-1 | Pos. |
---|---|---|---|
Goalkeeper | S. Ulreich | F. Muslera | Goalkeeper |
Right Back | N. Mazraoui | S. Boey | Right Back |
Centre Back | D. Upamecano | D. Sanchez | Centre Back |
Centre Back | M. Kim | A. Bardakcı | Centre Back |
Left Back | A. Davies | K. Karataş | Left Back |
Midfielder | J. Kimmich | L. Torreira | Midfielder |
Midfielder | L. Goretzka | T. Ndombele | Midfielder |
Midfielder | J. Musiala | M. Aktürkoğlu | Midfielder |
Wide Forward | K. Coman | H. Ziyech | Wide Forward |
Striker | H. Kane | M. Icardi | Striker |
Wide Forward | L. Sane | W. Zaha | Wide Forward |
✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster
Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.
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