Barcelona v FC Porto Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Barcelona v FC Porto UCL Prediction

These two sides have won seven European Cups and Champions Leagues between them, while they’ve also played each other six times in the tournament’s history. Interestingly, Barca have won five of these games by an aggregate score of 11-2, with Porto’s sole triumph coming in the second leg of a round of 16 clash in 1985/86.

Despite their 1-0 loss in Ukraine in gameweek four, Barca have largely impressed in this season’s Champions League, averaging 61.8% possession across their four Group H games. They’ve also attempted (118) and completed (57) the most take-ons in the 2023/24 UCL, with teenage sensation Lamine Yamal completing 13 of his 24 take-ons (54%) alone.

However, Barca and Porto were relatively evenly matched during their gameweek two clash at the Estádio do Dragão, while in Mehdi Taremi, the ‘dragões’ boast a player who has already assisted twice in this season’s UCL and contributed 1.36 goal-creating actions per 90 in four appearances.

Overall, Porto are averaging 4.00 goal-creating actions per 90 in the Champions League (sixth highest tally in the tournament), so I expect them to threaten and score at the Nou Camp. However, Xavi’s side are well-organised and relentless in possession, so I’m backing them to win an exciting encounter and book their place in the knockout stages.

💯 Barcelona v FC Porto UCL Match Odds

There are plenty of Barcelona v FC Porto betting markets you can target ahead of this UCL game, including the match winner, the over/under on total goals scored and whether or not both sides will score. I’ll compare these markets and their latest odds in detail below!

🏅 Barcelona v FC Porto: Match Winner

Barca are priced at around 1.44 to beat Porto, with these odds implying a 69.44% probability of the home side prevailing. Conversely, you can back Porto to be victorious at an average price of 7.00, which affords the visitors a 14.28% chance of achieving this objective!

Team
Barcelona to Win	1.40	1.40	1.41	1.45	1.47
FC Porto to Win	6.75	6.00	6.35	6.24	6.33
Draw	4.30	4.50	4.60	4.51	4.50

⚽ Barcelona v FC Porto: Both Teams To Score

In Barcelona’s 17 matches so far this season, both sides have found the net on eight occasions, with the Catalan giants keeping a total of eight clean sheets. However, their defeat against Shakhtar was only the second time the team had failed to score in 2023/24. Both sides have also scored in eight of Porto’s 17 matches this season, while the dragões have kept five clean sheets in all competitions.

Yes/No
Yes	1.75	1.85	1.77	1.85	1.75
No	1.91	1.90	1.95	1.97	1.95

🥅 Barcelona v FC Porto: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Between them, Barcelona and Porto have contested 34 matches in 2023/24, with these encounters producing 88 goals at a rate of 2.58 per game. The reverse fixture at the Estádio do Dragão also yielded just a single goal (scored by Ferran Torres), while it should be noted that Barca have only conceded six goals at the Nou Camp this season.

Under/Over
Over 2.5 Goals	1.64	1.65	1.60	1.64	1.62
Under 2.5 Goals	2.25	2.10	2.18	2.21	2.20

1️⃣ Barcelona Update

Barcelona have won 70.59% of their games in all competitions this season, with their 17 matches yielding 12 victories, just two defeats and 34 goals scored. However, the side has started to look more defensively vulnerable of late, conceding in five of their last seven games and all of their previous three matches at the Nou Camp. It’s also interesting to note that Barca haven’t won any game by more than a single goal since September 19th, when they thumped Royal Antwerp 5-0 in UCL gameweek one.

Barca’s previous injury crisis is finally starting to ease, although club captain Sergio Roberto remains absent with a muscle injury. The game may also come a little too soon for Dutch midfielder Frenkie de Jong, who is continuing his comeback from an ankle sprain. However, keeper Marc-André ter Stegen may be available for selection against Porto, despite withdrawing from the German international squad with a back complaint.

2️⃣ FC Porto Update

Porto’s overall win percentage in 2023/24 (70.59%) is exactly the same as Barcelona’s over the same number of matches, although the Portuguese outfit have been beaten four times in all competitions. However, the side’s back-to-back wins over Royal Antwerp in gameweeks three and four of the Champions League have afforded them the best possible chance of reaching the round of 16, while Porto boast one of the tournament’s most efficient forwards in the form of Brazilian striker Evanilson. He has scored four goals from just four shots on target, with this tally dramatically outperforming his xG value of 1.3.

Porto are without three players for the trip to Barcelona, including long-term absentee Iván Marcano (who is ruled out until April with a cruciate ligament tear). Winger Gabriel Veron also remains absent with a torn thigh muscle, while left back Wendell is a doubt having missed the last five matches with an unknown injury.

👕 Barcelona v FC Porto - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.