Atlético Madrid v Celtic Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

🏆 Atlético Madrid v Celtic

Celtic have now failed to beat Atletico in five previous meetings, although their thrilling 2-2 draw at Celtic Park in October did see them avoid a fourth defeat against the La Liga side. However, history is certainly against Celtic, especially with Brendan Rodgers seeing his previous Celtic team thrashed 7-0 by Atletico’s fellow La Liga side Barcelona in September 2016.

This season’s performance stats also appear to favour Atletico, who boast a higher xG value than Celtic (3.8 vs 2.3), while the SPL side’s average number of shot-creating actions per 90 (13.67) is the lowest in the whole tournament. Diego Simeone’s side are also incredibly efficient in front of goal, averaging an incredible 0.5 goals for every shot that they’ve attempted on target (this is better than any other team!).

However, Celtic are sure to be competitive in Spain, particularly as they’ve won 50.0% of their tackles in this season’s Champions League (compared to just 43.1% for Atletico). This should contribute to a close and keenly contested game at the Civitas Metropolitan Stadium, but it’s hard to imagine a scenario where Atletico’s greater experience, pedigree and attacking efficiency doesn’t ultimately prove decisive!

💯 Atlético Madrid v Celtic UCL Match Odds

You can bet on a huge range of markets ahead of the Atletico Madrid vs Celtic game, with Betinireland’s recommended betting sites covering everything from the match winner and BTTS to the over/under on the total number of goals scored in the game! Here are the latest odds across these markets! Please feel free to explore our comprehensive guide for in-depth insights and recommendations on the best betting sites

Atlético Madrid v Celtic: Match Winner

Atletico are the clear favourites to beat Celtic in Champions League gameweek four, with home field advantage and the team’s superior quality key factors here. But what odds can you get on a victory for the away side?

Team
Atlético Madrid to Win	1.29	1.30	1.26	1.25	1.29
Celtic to Win	10.00	9.00	9.45	10.00	10.00
Draw	5.00	5.50	5.50	5.50	5.80

Atlético Madrid v Celtic: Both Teams To Score

Celtic have scored in all but four of their 16 matches in all competitions this season, and while they’ve kept six clean sheets this season, none have been recorded in the SPL. As for Atletico, they’ve only drawn blanks in two of their 14 matches so far in 2023/24, while keeping a total of four clean sheets in total. Interestingly, they’ve also conceded in every UCL game they’ve contested this season, so the statistics favour both teams to score in Spain.

Team
Yes	1.95	1.95	2.04	2.00	2.00
No	1.75	1.75	1.70	1.80	1.73

Atlético Madrid v Celtic: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Not only have both sides produced a small number of clean sheets so far this season, but the 30 matches they’ve contested in total through 2023/24 have yielded 93 goals at a rate of 3.10 per game. So, it’s no surprise that the average odds imply a probability of 63.69% that there will be over 2.5 goals scored in this UCL clash!

Team
Over 2.5 Goals	1.57	1.60	1.56	1.57	1.57
Under 2.5 Goals	2.25	2.30	2.25	2.25	2.25

2️⃣ Atlético Madrid Update

Atlético Madrid’s surprise 2-1 defeat at Las Palmas on November 3rd was their first loss in 10 matches in all competitions, since a similarly shocking 3-0 thrashing at Valencia in September. Overall, however, Diego Simeone’s men have been typically hard to beat in 2022/23, losing just two of their 14 matches while scoring 32 goals at 2.28 per game and conceding 16. As I’ve already touched on, Atletico are a little more defensively vulnerable this season, with a tally of just four clean sheets and an unusually open 3-2 win over Feyenoord at the Metropolitan Stadium potentially offering hope to an occasionally free-flowing Celtic team. The Spaniards typically prefer to play on the break too, so it will be interesting to see how they cope when in possession against Celtic!

Atlético Madrid will without several players when Celtic visit Spain, including left back Reinildo Mandava who’s absent with a cruciate ligament tear. Winger Thomas Lemar is also a long-term absentee with an Achilles tendon rupture, while fellow widemen Vitolo and Samuel Lino (both knee) are set to miss out too. Striker Memphis Depay is also set to miss out with a muscle injury.

1️⃣ Celtic Update

Celtic are on the precipice of another untimely UCL exit, with their tally of one point from three games leaving them rooted to the bottom of Group E. In fact, a defeat against Atletico could actively eliminate Celtic after gameweek four, so long as Feyenoord also record their own double over Lazio at the Stadio Olympico. Remember, Celtic’s tally of shot-creating actions (41) across their three Champions League remains the lowest of the competition and hints at a lack of creativity at the highest level, while their expected goals value of 2.3 is only higher than Benfica (2.2) at the time of writing.

Once again, Celtic are virtually at full strength prior to their trip to Spain, although forward Liel Abada remains absent with a torn thigh muscle. Defender Stephen Walsh will also miss out with an ankle injury, while bustling midfielder Reo Hatate has been ruled out until January with a hamstring strain.

👕 Atlético Madrid v Celtic - Potential Lineups

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.