Atlético Madrid v Celtic Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

atlético-madrid-v-celtic-prediction atlético-madrid-v-celtic-prediction
TournamentChampions League
Timetable20:00 GMT - 7th Nov 23
PredictionAtlético Madrid To Win!
Odds1.30
Bookmakerbetway
Atlético Madrid To Win!
The best odds
1.
betway
Odds : 1.30
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Legend Play Sports
Odds : 1.29
Bet €100 and win €195 if Atlético Madrid win.
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Dach​bet Sports
Odds : 1.29
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atlético-madrid-v-celtic-prediction atlético-madrid-v-celtic-prediction

Celtic produced a superb showing against Atletico in gameweek three, twice taking their lead against their La Liga rivals while regularly playing through the Spanish side’s usually compact defensive lines. However, their old defensive frailties at this level were exposed once again by the Spanish side’s superb attack, with an inability to keep clean sheets potentially fatal to Celtic’s Champions League aspirations. Things are unlikely to get any easier at the Civitas Metropolitan Stadium, but can Brendan Rodgers’ side upset the football betting odds and keep their dreams of UCL qualification alive? Or will Atletico deliver a masterclass in front of their own fans?

🏆 Atlético Madrid v Celtic

Celtic have now failed to beat Atletico in five previous meetings, although their thrilling 2-2 draw at Celtic Park in October did see them avoid a fourth defeat against the La Liga side. However, history is certainly against Celtic, especially with Brendan Rodgers seeing his previous Celtic team thrashed 7-0 by Atletico’s fellow La Liga side Barcelona in September 2016.

This season’s performance stats also appear to favour Atletico, who boast a higher xG value than Celtic (3.8 vs 2.3), while the SPL side’s average number of shot-creating actions per 90 (13.67) is the lowest in the whole tournament. Diego Simeone’s side are also incredibly efficient in front of goal, averaging an incredible 0.5 goals for every shot that they’ve attempted on target (this is better than any other team!).

However, Celtic are sure to be competitive in Spain, particularly as they’ve won 50.0% of their tackles in this season’s Champions League (compared to just 43.1% for Atletico). This should contribute to a close and keenly contested game at the Civitas Metropolitan Stadium, but it’s hard to imagine a scenario where Atletico’s greater experience, pedigree and attacking efficiency doesn’t ultimately prove decisive!

My Prediction: 🏆 Atlético Madrid 2 -1 Celtic ⚽

💯 Atlético Madrid v Celtic UCL Match Odds

You can bet on a huge range of markets ahead of the Atletico Madrid vs Celtic game, with Betinireland’s recommended betting sites covering everything from the match winner and BTTS to the over/under on the total number of goals scored in the game! Here are the latest odds across these markets! Please feel free to explore our comprehensive guide for in-depth insights and recommendations on the best betting sites

Atlético Madrid v Celtic: Match Winner

Atletico are the clear favourites to beat Celtic in Champions League gameweek four, with home field advantage and the team’s superior quality key factors here. But what odds can you get on a victory for the away side?

Team
Atlético Madrid to Win1.291.301.261.251.29
Celtic to Win10.009.009.4510.0010.00
Draw5.005.505.505.505.80

Atlético Madrid v Celtic: Both Teams To Score

Celtic have scored in all but four of their 16 matches in all competitions this season, and while they’ve kept six clean sheets this season, none have been recorded in the SPL. As for Atletico, they’ve only drawn blanks in two of their 14 matches so far in 2023/24, while keeping a total of four clean sheets in total. Interestingly, they’ve also conceded in every UCL game they’ve contested this season, so the statistics favour both teams to score in Spain.

Team
Yes1.951.952.042.002.00
No1.751.751.701.801.73

Atlético Madrid v Celtic: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Not only have both sides produced a small number of clean sheets so far this season, but the 30 matches they’ve contested in total through 2023/24 have yielded 93 goals at a rate of 3.10 per game. So, it’s no surprise that the average odds imply a probability of 63.69% that there will be over 2.5 goals scored in this UCL clash!

Team
Over 2.5 Goals1.571.601.561.571.57
Under 2.5 Goals2.252.302.252.252.25

✔️ Atlético Madrid v Celtic - Betting Tips

Of course, some of these betting markets may offer more value and be more appealing than others, but how can you navigate them successfully? Here are some expert betting tips to help you make the most of your bankroll when wagering on the match between Atletico Madrid and Celtic!

  • Tip 1: Back Atlético Madrid to Win and Both Teams to Score: Not only have Atletico and Celtic kept just six and four clean sheets respectively in 2023/24 so far, but it’s notable that none of these have been achieved in the Champions League. Both sides also created ample chances to score in Atletico’s 2-1 win at Celtic nearly two weeks ago, with the La Liga side particularly threatening in transition. So, there’s value in backing Atletico to win and both sides to score in a combination bet, especially as the competitive price of 3.30 with Betway.
  • Tip 2: Back Both Sides to Score (BTTS): Despite the scoreline in the reverse fixture and the relatively open nature of this game, the ante post imply a higher probability that both teams won’t score in Madrid. However, both teams have looked defensively vulnerable in this season’s UCL, with the hosts winning less tackles and completing fewer ball recoveries than in previous campaigns. Celtic’s defensive record on the road in the Champions League is also historically poor, so get on both sides to score in the game at a price of 1.80 with TonyBet.
  • Tip 3: Back Antoine Griezmann to Score First: If you want to make the most of any qualifying or free bet offers ahead of this game, you could back Atletico striker Antoine Griezmann to score first at a price of 4.75 with LegendPlay. After all, the Frenchman has scored two UCL goals already this season from an xG value of 2.0, while he also equalised for Atletico at Celtic Park in the reverse fixture. I’d also expect the La Liga side to start on the front foot in Spain.

2️⃣ Atlético Madrid Update

Atlético Madrid’s surprise 2-1 defeat at Las Palmas on November 3rd was their first loss in 10 matches in all competitions, since a similarly shocking 3-0 thrashing at Valencia in September. Overall, however, Diego Simeone’s men have been typically hard to beat in 2022/23, losing just two of their 14 matches while scoring 32 goals at 2.28 per game and conceding 16. As I’ve already touched on, Atletico are a little more defensively vulnerable this season, with a tally of just four clean sheets and an unusually open 3-2 win over Feyenoord at the Metropolitan Stadium potentially offering hope to an occasionally free-flowing Celtic team. The Spaniards typically prefer to play on the break too, so it will be interesting to see how they cope when in possession against Celtic!

Last 5 Games
Las Palmas 2
Atlético Madrid 1
03.11.23
La Liga
Atlético Madrid 2
Alaves 1
29.10.23
La Liga
Celtic 2
Atlético Madrid 2
25.10.23
Champions League
Celta Vigo 0
Atlético Madrid 3
21.10.23
La Liga
Atlético Madrid 2
Real Sociedad 1
08.10.23
La Liga

Atlético Madrid will without several players when Celtic visit Spain, including left back Reinildo Mandava who’s absent with a cruciate ligament tear. Winger Thomas Lemar is also a long-term absentee with an Achilles tendon rupture, while fellow widemen Vitolo and Samuel Lino (both knee) are set to miss out too. Striker Memphis Depay is also set to miss out with a muscle injury.

PlayerReason
Reinildo Mandava Cruciate Ligament Tear
Samuel Lino Knee Injury
Thomas Lemar Achilles Tendon Rupture
Memphis Depay Muscle Injury
Vitolo Knee Injury

1️⃣ Celtic Update

Celtic are on the precipice of another untimely UCL exit, with their tally of one point from three games leaving them rooted to the bottom of Group E. In fact, a defeat against Atletico could actively eliminate Celtic after gameweek four, so long as Feyenoord also record their own double over Lazio at the Stadio Olympico. Remember, Celtic’s tally of shot-creating actions (41) across their three Champions League remains the lowest of the competition and hints at a lack of creativity at the highest level, while their expected goals value of 2.3 is only higher than Benfica (2.2) at the time of writing.

Last 5 Games
Ross County 0
Celtic 3
04.11.23
Scottish Premier League
Celtic 2
St. Mirren 1
01.11.23
Champions League
Hibernian 0
Celtic 0
28.10.23
Scottish Premier League
Celtic 2
Atletico Madrid 2
25.10.23
Champions League
Hearts 1
Celtic 4
22.10.23
Scottish Premier League

Once again, Celtic are virtually at full strength prior to their trip to Spain, although forward Liel Abada remains absent with a torn thigh muscle. Defender Stephen Walsh will also miss out with an ankle injury, while bustling midfielder Reo Hatate has been ruled out until January with a hamstring strain.

PlayerReason
Liel Abada Torn Thigh Muscle
Stephen Walsh Ankle Injury
Reo Hatate Hamstring Strain

👕 Atlético Madrid v Celtic - Potential Lineups

Pos. Atlético Madrid
3-5-2
Celtic
4-3-3
Pos.
Goalkeeper J. Oblak J. Hart Goalkeeper
Right Centre Back S. Savic A. Ralston Right Back
Centre Back A. Witsel C. Carter-Vickers Centre Back
Left Centre Back M. Hermoso L. Scales Centre Back
Right Wing Back M Llorente G. Taylor Left Back
Midfielder R. De Paul M. O’Riley Midfielder
Midfielder Koke C. McGregor Midfielder
Midfielder Saúl D. Turnbull Midfielder
Left Wing Back J. Galan D. Maeda Wide Forward
Striker A. Morata K. Furuhashi Striker
Striker A. Griezmann L. Palma Wide Forward

Atlético Madrid To Win!

✒️ Lewis Humphries – Expert Tipster

Lewis Humphries is an experienced football writer and tipster from the UK. He writes regularly about the Champions League, Premier League, Serie A and other competitions, regularly delivering expert match predictions and betting insights. He also successfully predicted the winner of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, while accurately forecasting the outcome of several group stage and knockout games.

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