UK Open Darts: Outright Winner Prediction (2023)

2023 UK Open Darts
Tournament2023 UK Open Darts
TimetableFriday 3rd March - Sunday 5th March
PredictionMichael Smith to win
OddsMichael Smith to Win @ 8.50
BookmakerPalm Slots Sports
Michael Smith to win
The best odds
Odds : 8.50
Bet €100 and win €850 if Michael Smith wins.
Odds : 8.00
Bet €100 and win €800 if Michael Smith wins.

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Odds : 8.00
Bet €100 and win €800 if Michael Smith wins.

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The UK Open is a ranking darts event that takes place every year at the Butlin's resort in Minehead, Somerset, England. This big event is known in the darts world as the "FA Cup of Darts" since it sees close to 160 players of different quality battle it out for the title and claim the top prize of £110,000. The 2023 version of this competition will be played from the 3rd-5th of March, and Danny Noppert will be looking to defend his title. Before you make do some UK Open Darts betting, read this page as I am going to give you my UK Open Darts outright winner prediction.

💯 UK Open Darts Outright Winner Odds

There will be a total of 158 players taking part in the 2023 UK Open, which means that there will be many betting opportunities for those who like to place bets on darts. The UK Open, like many top darts events, has a knockout format, which means that a player that loses a game is eliminated from the competition, while the winner advances to the next round. Therefore, every player has to be bang on form from the start, or their tournament will be finished before it has even begun.

In the table below, we have given you the UK Open outright winner odds that three of the best betting sites in Ireland are offering for the 15 favourites. Due to the large number of participants in this competition, we will not provide you with the odds for every single player since we see little sense in doing so. At the end of the day, if I am being honest, many who take part in this event have little chance of becoming the champion and are basically making up the numbers. Even the biggest darts fans have probably never heard of the likes of Jim McEwan, Kevin Doets, and Lukas Wenig.

Michael van Gerwen6.505.506.00
Gerwyn Price8.008.008.00
Michael Smith8.508.008.00
Peter Wright13.0015.0012.00
Jonny Clayton13.0013.0015.00
Luke Humphries21.0017.0017.00
Dirk van Duijvenbode21.0021.0021.00
Josh Rock23.0019.0021.00
Rob Cross26.0026.0021.00
Nathan Aspinall26.0029.0021.00
Dimitri van den Bergh26.0026.0021.00
Dave Chisnall26.0021.0021.00
Damon Heta26.0041.0026.00
Danny Noppert34.0029.0034.00
Joe Cullen34.0041.0041.00

N.B. The UK Open outright winner betting odds will change constantly and will decrease as the tournament is played out. Therefore, the earlier you place your bet, the better your potential profit will be, should your chosen player go on and win the title.

💾 2023 UK Open Final Format

Since there are close to 160 players taking part in the 2023 UK Open, it makes no sense to have them all play at the same stage in the competition. A first round that has 160 matches is going to last quite a while. Therefore, players will enter the event incrementally according to the PDC Order of Merit rankings as follows:

  • Those players ranked 97-128 as well as qualifiers from other events will start in the First Round
  • Those players ranked 65-96 will start in the Second Round
  • Those players ranked 33-64 will start in the Third Round
  • Those players ranked 1-32 will start in the Fourth Round

The matches in the first three rounds will be the best of 11, while the matches in the 4th, 5th, 6th, and Quarter-Final stages will be the best of 19 legs. The Semi-Finals and the Final will be the best of 21 legs, so the first player to score 11 legs will claim the 2023 UK Open title and the huge cash prize that goes along with it.


🏆 UK Open Darts Previous Winners

Before you go ahead and do any darts betting on the winner of UK Open darts 2023, you should do yourself a favour and have a look at previous winners of this competition. Why is it that we recommend you do this? Well, it is because winning breeds success, and those who have lifted this title before will know what it takes to win such a prestigious event. Therefore, with this in mind, I shall now take a look at those who have won this title since it came into being in 2003.

Phil Taylor: He is considered by many to be the best darts player ever, and his amazing number of titles definitely backs up this claim. During his darts career, he won a total of 79 PDC Premier events, with the UK Open accounting for five of these wins. He won this title in 2003, 2005, 2009, 2010, and 2013.

Michael van Gerwen: The Dutchman is also up there as one of the best players in this history of the sport, and he currently has 45 PDC titles under his belt. He has won the UK Open on three occasions in 2015. 2016, and 2020 and, as you can see in the odds table above, he is the current favourite to win the 2023 edition.

James Wade: He has won 11 PDC events in his career, and three of these wins came in the UK Open in 2008, 2011, and 2021. The bookmakers do not consider him to be one of the contenders for the 2023 title.

Raymond van Barneveld: The Dutchman is well-known in the world of darts, even among those who are not big darts fans, and to date he has won 6 PDC Premier events, with the UK Open contributing to two of these successes. He won this event in 2006 and 2007, but the bookmakers are not expecting him to make it a hat-trick of wins this time around.

The above four players are the only ones who have managed to win this competition on more than one occasions. Below we have given you a list of those players who have managed to win it once:

  • Roland Scholten (2004)
  • Robert Thornton (2012)
  • Adrian Lewis (2014)
  • Peter Wright (2017
  • Gary Anderson (2018)
  • Nathan Aspinall (2019)
  • Danny Noppert (2022)

🧍 UK Open Darts Player Performance

When it comes to doing some PDC betting on the UK Open darts final, it is a wise move to check out how the players have been playing lately. Class might be permanent, but form certainly is not, and betting on a player that is severely lacking in form is a good way to end up placing a losing wager. Thus, in this next section of our prediction for the UK Open darts winner 2023, I am going to look at how five of the top contenders have been playing lately.

1️⃣ Michael van Gerwen

Even those who are not huge fans of this sport will more than likely have heard about Michael van Gerwen since he is one of the best players to play the game. In 2021, he had a pretty poor year as he did not win a single event and only made it to one final, but he found some form in 2022 and won the World Grand Prix, the World Matchplay, the Players Championship Final, and the Premier League of Darts. In 2023, he has made it to the final of the PDC World Championship and The Masters, so is in some decent form.

His big strength is that he does not know when he is beaten - many of the best players would have beaten themselves up after not winning a title for a whole season, but he put all of this behind him quickly and made sure the following season had more success. Even if his opponent gets ahead by a good number of legs, he knows that he has the talent to claw back that deficit.

2️⃣ Michael Smith

Michael Smith is definitely the player to beat as he is ranked as the number one player in the world. Everyone in the darts world has known that he has plenty of talent for a long time, but his talent did not translate into titles. Between 2019 and 2022, he made it to nine finals and lost them all. Many ended up questioning whether he has the bottle for this sport, but he showed that he does when he won the Grand Slam of Darts in 2022 and then the PDC World Championship in 2023.

His main strength is certainly his mental strength since not many players out there would have been able to withstand the pressure on their shoulders after losing nine finals consecutively. Now that the pressure has been lifted off his shoulders considerably, there will not be many players who will be eager to meet him in any round of the 2023 UK Open.

3️⃣ Gerwyn Price

Gerwyn Price used to be the world number 1, so it is clear that he is a really good darts player. At the time of writing, Price has won a total of eight events, with five of these wins coming in the 2020 and 2021 season. In 2022, he carried on his success by lifting the World Series of Darts title, while making it to the final of the World Cup of Darts and the World Matchplay. In 2023, he made it to the last eight of the World Championship and was knocked out in the second round of The Masters, so his form is not where he would like it to be.

He often does not get the support that he would like from the crowd and is affected by the jibes that come his way, but he needs to learn to block the noise out because he has the talent to beat anyone on his day. If he can return to his calm, cool, and collected self, then there is definitely no reason why he cannot go on to be the UK Open darts outright winner 2023.

4️⃣ Peter Wright

The Scotsman is raked as one of the best players in the world, and he has also held the number one spot in the past. To date, he has won a total of nine titles, six of which he picked up in 2020 and 2021. However, although he won the 2022 Masters, the last year or so has been pretty lean for the Scot as he has not made it to any other final - his best other finish was making it to the last four of the World Grand Prix.

However, despite his recent lack of form, nobody on the circuit will take him lightly because he is known for having bouncebackability. If he manages to find his form ahead of the 2023 UK Open, then we would not be surprised to see him challenge for the title. Even if he is lacking in form, his opponents will know that they will have to play well to pick up the win.

5️⃣ Jonny Clayton

The Welshman is currently ranked as the 7th best player in the world, and to date he has managed to pick up five trophies. However, given the quality that he possesses, he will probably be the first to admit that he should have won a few more than that. Four of his five title successes came in 2021 when he picked up The Masters, the World Grand Prix, the World Series of Darts Finals, and the Premier League Darts. During 2022, he did not win any trophies, but he did make it to the semi-finals of four events - with some more luck, he could added another trophy or two to his collection.

He is known as "The Ferret" on the circuit, which is because he has an uncanny ability to wriggle his way out of tight situations. If he has his back against the wall, then his opponents will know that it is vital to not give him a sniff because he will fight back with a vengeance. There are players in the darts world that you need to knock out when you have them at your mercy, and Clayton certain slots into this category. If he turns up at the 2023 UK Open and plays his best darts, there is no reason why he cannot go on to win.

✔️ UK Open Darts Outright Winner Betting Tips

With regard to UK Open outright winner betting, you can just jump right in and place a bet on a player if you feel like it, but this is not exactly a strategy that will lead to any kind of success, no matter the types of bets that you place. Yes, you might end up lucky and land yourself a nice profit, but more often than not you will just be counting your losses.

I have been in the sports betting industry for many years now, and I have picked up some useful betting tips that I would like to share with you now.

▶ Head-to-Head Records

In sports, no matter if it is an individual or team sport, there will always be players or teams that have some sort of psychological edge over particular rivals. Therefore, with this in mind, when it comes to betting on big darts events such as the 2023 UK Open Darts, I recommend that you take the time to look at the head-to-head record that exists between the two players.

If you check out this record and see that the player you were going to bet on has a poor record against his opponent, then it is worth reconsidering your bet. Yes, there is a chance that your chosen player will go on to win, but a psychological advantage is one that is hard to overcome in any sport. So, before you place your bet, you need to decide whether it is a risk that you are willing to take.

▶ the Venue Matters

If you think that the venue where a darts event is taking place is something that is irrelevant, then I have some surprising news for you, my friend – it isn’t! Just like some football or rugby teams play better at particular stadiums, some darts players prefer to play at one particular venue rather than another. Perhaps the crowd is on their side at one venue, while the crowd at another venue are always on their back, which can be pretty off putting.

Therefore, before you go ahead and place an outright winner bet on a darts event like the 2023 UK Open, I recommend that you take a look at how the player has performed at the venue in the past. If they have a shoddy record at the venue, then there is a good chance that it is not going to change this time around.

▶ The Form of the Player

I know that I touched on this briefly above, but I am going to mention it once again because it something that is very important for you to remember. When you are betting on darts, or any sport for that matter, do not forget to check the form of the player that you are going to be putting your hard-earned money on.

I recommend that you take a look at how they have played over their previous five to ten matches, and if they have lost more matches then they have won in that period, then you certainly should consider whether you want to place the bet on him to go on and lift the title. Yes, form is temporary and he could go on to win the event, but you need to weigh up whether it is worth the risk or not in your book.

If you do opt to go ahead with the bet, you could make use of cash out betting if it is available to you.

🏅 UK Open Darts Outright Winner Prediction

Many darts betting fans will probably decide to put their cash on Michael van Gerwen to win, and there is definitely a good chance that he will win his 4th UK Open title. However, I am going to go a little bit against the grain here and suggest that you bet on Michael Smith to go on and win the UK Open for the first time.

Why am I suggesting this? Well, it is because of the form that he has been in lately and now that he no longer has the pressure of not having lifted a title hanging over his head like a dark cloud, he can play with a little more freedom, which is something that should result in him throwing some quality darts.

Our 2023 UK Open Prediction: Michael Smith to win.

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❓ Frequently Asked Questions about UK Open Darts Outright Winner

Who Will Win the UK Open Darts?

There are a number of players that could go on to win, but my money would be Michael Smith to be victorious.

When is the UK Open Darts Final?

The UK Open 2023 final will be played on the evening of the 5th of March.

What is the Prize Money for the UK Open Darts?

The winner of the 2023 UK Open will walk away with £110,000.

Where Can You Bet on the UK Open Darts Final?

The majority of bookmakers will have odds for this competition, but some of the best bookmakers include Palm Slots Sports, BoyleSports, and Ladbrokes.

What Are the Odds for the UK Open Darts Final?

The top bookies have Michael van Gerwen at odds of 5.50 to 6.50 to win the title, while other contenders such as Gerwyn Price have been priced at odds of 8.00. Michael Smith, on the other hand, has odds ranging between 8.00-8.50.

Michael Smith to win

✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast


2023 UK Open Darts outright prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a tipster and betting expert from the United Kingdom who has a passion for a whole range of sports, particularly football, rugby, and cricket. He is an avid Aston Villa fan, so feel free to feel a bit of pity for him. He has been involved in the online gambling industry for a number of years now and has written a large number of predictions for a variety of sports including GAA, so he has built up a lot of sporting expertise over the years.

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